Lille - Paris Saint Germain

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

66'

0 - 1

Penalty

K. Mbappé

66'		B. Diakité	Tripping
65'		B. Diakité	Tripping
18'		M. Ugarte	Foul

81'			In:	O. Dembélé	Out:	Marco Asensio
81'			In:	Y. Yazıcı	Out:	J. David
75'			In:	Danilo Pereira	Out:	M. Škriniar
71'			In:	B. Diakité	Out:	Tiago Santos
71'			In:	G. Gudmundsson	Out:	R. Cabella
67'			In:	B. Barcola	Out:	R. Kolo Muani
67'			In:	M. Ugarte	Out:	A. Hakimi
66'			In:	B. Barcola	Out:	R. Kolo Muani

Lille - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Paris Saint Germain

Best odds: 1.27

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In a much-anticipated clash at the Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Ligue 1's current titleholders Paris Saint Germain (PSG) are set to face off against a formidable Lille side. With predictions leaning towards a PSG win or draw, fans are bracing for a high-octane encounter on Sunday. Will Lille manage to disrupt the predictions, or will PSG solidify their top spot? Let's delve into the key players and team dynamics that will shape this encounter.

Key Players

Lille's hopes may rest on the shoulders of their attacking prowess, particularly Ivan Ricardo Neves Abreu Cavaleiro, whose rating of 6.79 reflects his ability to be a game-changer. With a total of 6 shots and 1 goal to his name, Cavaleiro's precision in front of the goal could be crucial. In the midfield, Yusuf Yazıcı has shown promise with a rating of 6.91, contributing 2 goals from 8 shots. His creativity will be vital in breaking down PSG's defense. Defensively, Leny Yoro stands out with a stellar 7.10 rating, and his performance will be key in containing PSG's attacking threats.

On the other side, PSG's midfield maestro Carlos Soler Barragán boasts a 6.91 rating and has been instrumental with 2 assists. His ability to distribute the ball effectively could set the tone for the match. In attack, Randal Kolo Muani with a rating of 7.09, has been a revelation, netting 3 goals and providing 2 assists. His partnership with Gonçalo Matias Ramos, also rated at 7.10, who has scored twice, could be the key to unlocking Lille's defense.

Recent Form

Lille's recent form has been a mixed bag with a record of WWDDW, reflecting a team that has resilience but may lack the finishing edge, having scored 19 goals and conceded 11. They sit at the 4th spot with 26 points and a goal difference of +8. PSG, on the other hand, is in sublime form with a streak of WWWWW, showcasing their dominance in the league. They lead the table with 33 points and a formidable goal difference of +25, scoring 36 goals and conceding just 11.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between the two sides provides further insight. The last time they met at the Decathlon Arena, PSG emerged victorious with a staggering 7-1 win over Lille. Even in their previous encounter at PSG's home ground, it was a close battle, but PSG managed to edge out Lille with a 4-3 victory. This history suggests an uphill battle for Lille, but in football, the past doesn't always dictate the future.

Prediction

Taking into account the teams' current form, the head-to-head record, and individual player stats, the prediction leans towards PSG either winning or securing a draw. The odds are particularly in favor of PSG when considering their attacking strength and defensive solidity. Predictive analytics give PSG a 45% chance of winning, mirroring the chance of a draw, while Lille stands at a mere 10%. The advice for betting enthusiasts would be a double chance on a draw or PSG win.

In terms of goals, the predictions are less clear, with no specific call on over or under for either team. However, given the attacking nature of both teams and their key players like Ivan Ricardo Neves Abreu Cavaleiro for Lille and Carlos Soler Barragán for PSG, spectators could be in for a goal-laden match.

Ultimately, with PSG's superior form (58% form away) and attacking stats (70% att away) against Lille's defense (80% def home), the Parisians are tipped to continue their winning ways. The final prediction: a high-scoring affair with PSG likely to maintain their lead at the top of the Ligue 1 standings.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

38%

63%

Attacking Potential

25%

75%

Defensive Potential

75%

25%

Poisson Distribution

43%

57%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

28%

72%

Wins the game

38%

62%

Lille - Paris Saint Germain Head to Head

10/02	Paris Saint Germain	3 - 1	Lille
17/12	Lille	1 - 1	Paris Saint Germain
19/02	Paris Saint Germain	4 - 3	Lille
21/08	Lille	1 - 7	Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21