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Lorient - Paris Saint Germain Predictions
As the Ligue 1 season progresses, a clash of titans and underdogs is set to unfold at the Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, pitting the might of Paris Saint Germain against the tenacity of Lorient. With the predictions heavily favoring the visitors, the question on everyone's lips is whether Lorient can defy the odds or if PSG will solidify their dominance at the top of the table.
Key Players
For Lorient, the spotlight shines on Benjamin Mendy, whose defensive prowess is reflected in his 6.45 rating. He has managed a total of 155 passes, demonstrating his ability to kickstart plays from the back. On the attacking front, Aiyegun Oluwatosin Tosin has been a revelation, with a commendable 6.60 rating, 2 goals, and 161 total passes to his name. The midfield dynamism comes from Eli Junior Eric Anat Kroupi, who boasts a 6.79 rating, has scored 5 goals, and has 3 assists, making him a crucial link between defense and attack.Paris Saint Germain, on the other hand, brings a star-studded lineup with the likes of Carlos Soler Barragán, a midfielder with a 6.84 rating who has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists. His 466 passes highlight his role as a key playmaker. In defense, Nuno Alexandre Tavares Mendes has been solid, boasting a 6.88 rating and adding to the score sheet with 1 goal. The attacking threat is spearheaded by Randal Kolo Muani, who has a team-high 6.93 rating with 6 goals and 4 assists, making him a formidable force in the final third.
Recent Form
Lorient's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their struggle to find consistency is evident, and with a goals difference of -15, they will need to tighten up at the back to stand a chance against PSG's lethal attack.PSG, currently leading the pack, have been more consistent, with 2 wins and 3 draws in their last outings. Their impressive +39 goal difference is a testament to their attacking flair and defensive solidity, making them a formidable opponent for any team in the league.
Head-to-Head History
Looking at the head-to-head encounters, the history between these two sides has seen some surprises. Their most recent clash ended in a stalemate, with neither side able to break the deadlock on August 12, 2023. However, Lorient managed to pull off a stunning 3-1 victory over PSG on April 30, 2023, showcasing their potential to upset the Parisian giants. The match before that saw PSG eke out a narrow 2-1 win on November 6, 2022, at Lorient's home ground.Prediction
Despite Lorient's occasional flashes of brilliance, the predictions and stats heavily lean towards an away victory. With a 67.7% total percent away win probability, PSG is expected to take the three points. The key players' form and the overall team dynamics suggest that PSG will not only win but could do so with a comfortable margin, as indicated by the predicted goals difference of -3.5 for the away side.In conclusion, while football is a game of uncertainties, the safe bet is on a Paris Saint Germain victory. Their superior form, combined with the individual quality of players like Randal Kolo Muani and Carlos Soler Barragán, should be enough to see them through. Lorient will have to produce something special, and their fans will be hoping for a repeat of their previous upset. However, the odds are stacked against them, and PSG's quest for another league title looks set to continue with another triumph on this Sunday showdown.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Lorient - Paris Saint Germain Head to Head
| 13/04 | Lorient |
- | Paris Saint Germain |
| 12/08 | Paris Saint Germain |
0 - 0 | Lorient |
| 30/04 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 - 3 | Lorient |
| 06/11 | Lorient |
1 - 2 | Paris Saint Germain |
Ligue 1 standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
| 2 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 53 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 |
Nice
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 |
Lens
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 |
Reims
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 40 |
| 8 |
Marseille
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 |
Rennes
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 39 |
| 10 |
Lyon
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 13 |
Montpellier
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 |
LE Havre
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 |
Lorient
|
28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
| 17 |
Metz
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 |
Clermont Foot
|
28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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