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Lyon - Lens Predictions
In an intriguing Ligue 1 clash, Lyon will host Lens at the Groupama Stadium, with both teams having contrasting fortunes in the league so far. As the predictions swing in favor of the visitors, could there be a twist in the tale?
Key Players
For Lyon, midfield maestro Skelly Alvero has been a consistent performer with a rating of 6.64, contributing one goal and showcasing his playmaking abilities with 190 total passes and a key pass in the campaign. Joining him in the attack is Jefferson Ruan Pereira dos Santos, whose agility and skill have earned him a 6.69 rating, with one assist and a goal to his name. In defense, Henrique Silva Milagres stands out with a rating of 6.78, a goal, and an impressive defensive record, reflecting his importance to the team's structure.Lens will rely on the creativity of midfielder Adrien Thomasson, who boasts a 6.74 rating and has been instrumental with 465 passes and 18 key passes. Defender Deiver Andrés Machado Mena has a 6.83 rating and has contributed three goals, proving to be a threat on set-pieces. Lastly, Morgan Bono Guilavogui, an attacker with a 6.84 rating, has managed two goals and will be looking to add to his tally against Lyon.
Recent Form
Lyon's recent form reads like a roller coaster with three wins followed by two losses, indicating a lack of consistency. They currently sit at 11th on the table with 25 points, having a negative goal difference of -11. Their home form has been equally unpredictable with four wins, three draws, and five losses.Lens, sitting comfortably at 6th with 36 points and a positive goal difference of +7, have been in better shape. Their last five games include three wins, a draw, and a loss. Away from home, they've secured four wins, four draws, and four losses, suggesting they can be a formidable side on their travels.
Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head encounters suggest a tightly contested history. The most recent match saw Lens edge out Lyon with a 3-2 victory on December 2, 2023. Prior to that, Lyon had secured a 2-1 win on February 12, 2023, while Lens had won 1-0 on October 2, 2022. This history points to a rivalry that could go either way.Prediction
The predictions lean towards Lens, with a 'double chance' of a draw or a win for the visitors. The statistical analysis gives Lens a 54.7% chance of coming away with a positive result, while Lyon is given a 45.3% chance of victory. The poisson distribution, a statistical measure, also favors Lens at 61% over Lyon's 39%.Taking into account the form of key players like Adrien Thomasson and Morgan Bono Guilavogui for Lens, and the potential of Skelly Alvero and Henrique Silva Milagres for Lyon, this match could be decided by moments of individual brilliance.
Considering the recent form and head-to-head statistics, the final prediction is for a closely fought contest with Lens likely to maintain their upper hand, either through a win or a draw. With the league's dynamics, however, surprises are always around the corner, and Lyon will be eager to upset the odds in front of their home fans. The advice to the bettors would be to opt for a double chance: draw or Lens, reflecting the unpredictable nature of this encounter.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Lyon - Lens Head to Head
Ligue 1 standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
| 2 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 53 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 |
Nice
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 |
Lens
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 |
Reims
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 40 |
| 8 |
Marseille
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 |
Rennes
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 39 |
| 10 |
Lyon
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 13 |
Montpellier
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 |
LE Havre
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 |
Lorient
|
28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
| 17 |
Metz
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 |
Clermont Foot
|
28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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