Marseille - Metz

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

61'		1 - 1	Goal	M. Udol	L. Camara (Assist)
56'		1 - 0	Goal	F. Moumbagna	Q. Merlin (Assist)

31'		S. Gigot	Holding
29'		S. Gigot	Holding

46'			In:	K. N'Doram	Out:	J. N'Duquidi
33'			In:	A. Harit	Out:	B. Meïté

Marseille - Metz Predictions

Prediction: Marseille or draw

Best odds: 1.35

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As the excitement builds for the upcoming Ligue 1 clash at the Orange Vélodrome, all eyes are on the predictions that could see host team Marseille, currently sitting at 7th in the league, lock horns with 15th placed Metz. With the home side favored to win, let's delve into the key players who could make a difference and analyze both teams' recent form and history before making a final prediction.

Key Players to Watch

Marseille's recent uptick in form can be attributed to some standout performances from their key players. Michael Amir Murillo Bermúdez, a defender with a solid rating of 6.66, has been a reliable presence in the backline. With 1 goal, 1 assist, and 2 key passes to his name, he's a player that could impact both defensively and offensively.

In the midfield, Azzedine Ounahi has been impressive, boasting a rating of 6.78. With 2 goals from 5 shots on target and 5 key passes, his creative prowess will be crucial for Marseille's chances of dominating the center of the park.

Upfront, Iliman Cheikh Baroy Ndiaye, has shown he can be a threat with 1 goal, 2 assists, and 9 key passes. His ability to open up defenses will be vital against a Metz side that has struggled on the road.

For Metz, Joel Joshoghene Asoro has been a bright spot in a challenging season. The attacker, with a rating of 6.65, has netted 2 goals and provided 1 assist, demonstrating his capability to trouble the Marseille defense.

Alongside him, Simon Elisor has shown flashes of brilliance with 1 goal to his name and a rating of 6.69. His attacking contributions could be key to Metz's hopes of an upset.

In defense, Ismaël Abdul Rahman Roch Traoré has been solid for Metz, contributing 1 goal and proving to be a rock at the back with a rating of 6.71.

Recent Form

Marseille's form has been on the rise, with an unbeaten streak in their last five matches (DDWWW), showcasing their resilience and ability to grind out results. Playing at home has been a particular strength, with the team yet to lose at the Orange Vélodrome this season.

In contrast, Metz has been struggling, with their last five games resulting in defeats (LLLLL). A lack of consistency and difficulty in finding the back of the net have plagued their campaign, leaving them fighting to climb out of the relegation zone.

Head-to-Head History

The previous encounter between these two sides on August 18, 2023, ended in a 2-2 draw, suggesting that while Marseille may have the upper hand at home, Metz has shown they can hold their own against the Phocaeans.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form, home advantage, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans heavily in favor of Marseille. With a form home score of 100 compared to Metz's form away at 0, and the attacking threat posed by key players like Michael Amir Murillo Bermúdez and Iliman Cheikh Baroy Ndiaye, Marseille is expected to control the game.

The predictions also suggest a low-scoring affair for Metz, with a goals away prediction of -1.5, indicating that their offensive struggles might continue. Meanwhile, Marseille's goals home is set at -3.5, hinting at a potentially comfortable win for the home side.

In conclusion, the final prediction is a victory for Marseille, with a significant chance of maintaining their unbeaten home record. The combination of their solid defense, creative midfield, and potent attack, alongside Metz's poor form, suggests this Sunday could see Marseille further solidify their position in the league standings.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

100%

0%

Attacking Potential

75%

25%

Defensive Potential

57%

43%

Poisson Distribution

84%

16%

Stregth H2H

64%

36%

Goals H2H

55%

45%

Wins the game

67%

33%

Marseille - Metz Head to Head

09/02	Marseille	1 - 1	Metz
18/08	Metz	2 - 2	Marseille

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21