Marseille - Montpellier

Regular Season - 23
Orange Vélodrome
Kickoff: 2024-02-25 18:45

Who will win?

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Marseille - Montpellier Predictions

Prediction: Marseille or draw
Best odds: 1.20

As the Ligue 1 season unfolds, the upcoming clash between Marseille and Montpellier is drawing significant attention, not just for the action that will unfold on the pitch but also for the predictions stirring up debates among fans and pundits alike. With the match poised at the Stade Orange Vélodrome in Marseille, the home side looks favored, but in football, the unexpected is always around the corner.

Key Players

Marseille's performance this season has been a rollercoaster, but amidst the ups and downs, certain players have stood out. Azzedine Ounahi, a midfielder with a keen eye for the game, has managed a rating of 6.83, contributing 2 goals and 6 key passes. His ability to dictate the pace of the game will be crucial for Marseille.

On the defensive end, Michael Amir Murillo Bermúdez stands tall with a rating of 6.84. His defensive prowess, coupled with his ability to contribute to the attack with 1 assist, makes him an integral part of the team's backbone.

Leading the attack, Iliman Cheikh Baroy Ndiaye, with a rating of 6.91, has shown his worth with 1 goal and 2 assists. His aggressive approach and willingness to take a shot could make the difference in the upcoming match.

Montpellier, on the other hand, has its own set of aces. Midfielder Khalil Fayad has shown promise with a rating of 6.77 and 2 goals to his name. His performance in the midfield will be pivotal in creating opportunities for his team.

The attacking responsibilities for Montpellier rest on the shoulders of Wahbi Khazri, with a rating of 6.86, and Akor Jerome Adams, the team's top scorer with 7 goals and a rating of 6.91. Their ability to convert chances will be crucial for Montpellier to secure any points from this match.

Recent Form

Marseille's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in a pattern of draws and losses (DLDDD). Despite this, they have managed to maintain a solid home record, remaining unbeaten at the Stade Orange Vélodrome this season.

Montpellier has been struggling to find consistency, as reflected in their last five matches (LLDLD). Sitting at 15th in the league, they are in dire need of a positive result to boost their confidence and climb up the table.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams shows a tight contest. Their last three encounters have ended with two draws and one victory for Marseille. The most recent match on December 20, 2023, ended in a 1-1 stalemate, suggesting that there's little to separate the two sides when they meet.

Prediction

Taking into account the current form, head-to-head history, and key player performances, the prediction leans towards a favorable outcome for Marseille. The statistics suggest that there's a 45% chance for a home win and an equal chance for a draw, leaving only a 10% probability for an away victory.

Marseille's strong home record this season and the individual quality of players like Ounahi, Murillo Bermúdez, and Ndiaye give them the edge. Montpellier's hopes rest on the attacking threat posed by Khazri and Adams, but overcoming Marseille's home advantage will be a tough challenge.

The advice for this match is a "Double chance: Marseille or draw," with a strong emphasis on the home side's ability to secure at least one point. The goal predictions lean towards a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals for Marseille and under 1.5 for Montpellier.

In conclusion, while Montpellier will battle to defy the odds, the final prediction points to a Marseille win or draw, with the home side likely to maintain their unbeaten record at the Vélodrome. The match promises to be a tactical and closely fought contest, with key players on both sides looking to tip the scales in their team's favor.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

43%
57%

Attacking Potential

44%
56%

Defensive Potential

50%
50%

Poisson Distribution

75%
25%

Stregth H2H

75%
25%

Goals H2H

64%
36%

Wins the game

59%
42%

Marseille - Montpellier Head to Head

Ligue 1 standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain players, news and schedule Paris Saint Germain 28 18 9 1 65 24 41 63
2 Stade Brestois 29 players, news and schedule Stade Brestois 29 28 15 8 5 41 23 18 53
3 Lille players, news and schedule Lille 28 13 10 5 42 25 17 49
4 Monaco players, news and schedule Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 14 49
5 Nice players, news and schedule Nice 28 12 8 8 28 22 6 44
6 Lens players, news and schedule Lens 28 12 7 9 37 30 7 43
7 Reims players, news and schedule Reims 28 11 7 10 35 36 -1 40
8 Marseille players, news and schedule Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 8 39
9 Rennes players, news and schedule Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 7 39
10 Lyon players, news and schedule Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse players, news and schedule Toulouse 28 8 9 11 32 36 -4 33
12 Strasbourg players, news and schedule Strasbourg 28 8 9 11 30 39 -9 33
13 Montpellier players, news and schedule Montpellier 28 8 9 11 35 40 -5 32
14 LE Havre players, news and schedule LE Havre 28 6 10 12 27 36 -9 28
15 Nantes players, news and schedule Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
16 Lorient players, news and schedule Lorient 28 6 8 14 35 52 -17 26
17 Metz players, news and schedule Metz 28 6 5 17 28 48 -20 23
18 Clermont Foot players, news and schedule Clermont Foot 28 4 9 15 20 47 -27 21