Metz - Lyon

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• Substitutions

60'		1 - 2	Goal	S. Benrahma	M. Caqueret (Assist)
45'		1 - 1	Goal	A. Lacazette	Clinton Mata (Assist)
13'		1 - 0	Goal	G. Mikautadze

88'		J. O'Brien	Roughing
81'		L. Camara	Handling
73'		Clinton Mata	Holding

89'			In:	A. Lacazette	Out:	Mama Baldé
82'			In:	L. Camara	Out:	J. N'Duquidi
75'			In:	J. Asoro	Out:	S. Sané
75'			In:	D. Lamkel Zé	Out:	A. Atta
70'			In:	E. Nuamah	Out:	M. Fofana
70'			In:	O. Mangala	Out:	R. Cherki
55'			In:	C. Sabaly	Out:	K. Van Den Kerkhof
46'			In:	G. Orban	Out:	S. Benrahma

Metz - Lyon Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Lyon

Best odds: 1.29

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As the Ligue 1 season heats up, fans eagerly anticipate the upcoming clash between Metz and Lyon at the Stade Saint-Symphorien. With expert predictions hinting at a potential victory or draw for the visitors, the stakes are high for both teams looking to secure crucial points. Let’s delve into the key players who could make a significant impact on the game and explore the recent form and historical encounters between these two sides before arriving at a detailed prediction.

Key Players

For Metz, the spotlight falls on Joel Joshoghene Asoro, an attacker whose performances have been vital for the team. With a rating of 6.65, Asoro has managed to put 2 shots on target from 3 attempts, contributing 1 assist and netting 2 goals so far. His agility and ability to find spaces in the opposition's defense could prove essential for Metz in this matchup.

Joining him in the attack is Simon Elisor, another forward whose presence on the pitch has been felt through his 7 shots on target and a goal to his name. Elisor's overall contribution, including 153 total passes and 10 key passes, indicates his role as a potential game-changer for the home side.

On the defensive end, Ismaël Abdul Rahman Roch Traoré stands out with a rating of 6.71. His defensive prowess, reflected in 410 total passes and 1 key pass, along with a goal, showcases his dual threat as a defender capable of initiating attacks.

For Lyon, the midfield dynamism comes from Skelly Alvero, who holds a rating of 6.64. Alvero has been involved in creating chances, with 190 total passes and a key pass to his credit, demonstrating his ability to dictate the tempo of the game.

In the attacking third, Jefferson Ruan Pereira dos Santos has been a consistent performer with 3 shots on target and a goal, alongside an assist. His contribution will be critical for Lyon as they seek to penetrate Metz's defense.

Lastly, Bradley Barcola, another attacker for Lyon, has demonstrated his potential with 2 goals, underlining his status as a player to watch in this encounter.

Recent Form

Metz's recent form has been a cause for concern, with their last five games resulting in a draw followed by four losses (DLLLL). They currently sit at 17th place with a meager 17 points, just above the relegation zone. Their struggle to find consistency is evident in their -14 goal difference.

In contrast, Lyon, positioned at 13th with 22 points, has shown a mixed bag of results (WWLLW). Despite their fluctuating form, they have managed to stay clear of the relegation battle for now, but they'll be looking to solidify their position with a win.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head encounters provide a glimmer of hope for Metz, with the last match against Lyon ending in a 1-1 draw on November 5, 2023. However, Lyon had the upper hand in the previous encounter, securing a 2-1 victory on January 7, 2023. These results suggest a closely contested history that could play into the upcoming match's dynamics.

Prediction

Considering the teams' current form, key players' impact, and historical data, the prediction leans towards Lyon either winning or securing a draw. The odds are in favor of the away team, with a 45% chance for both a draw and an away win, compared to a mere 10% for a home victory. Lyon's stronger attacking form, with a form away of 90 compared to Metz's form home of 10, and their defensive edge, suggest they may have the upper hand.

The advice for this match is a double chance: draw or Lyon. While Metz will fight hard to avoid the drop, Lyon's slightly better form and historical edge could see them through. Expect a tight game with Lyon likely to capitalize on their chances, potentially leading to a narrow victory or a hard-fought draw.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

10%

90%

Attacking Potential

22%

78%

Defensive Potential

47%

53%

Poisson Distribution

48%

52%

Stregth H2H

62%

38%

Goals H2H

54%

46%

Wins the game

41%

60%

Metz - Lyon Head to Head

23/02	Metz	1 - 2	Lyon
05/11	Lyon	1 - 1	Metz
07/01	Lyon	2 - 1	Metz

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21