Metz - Montpellier

Regular Season - 16
Kickoff: 2023-12-17 13:00

Who will win?

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Metz - Montpellier Predictions

Prediction: Metz or draw
Best odds: 1.72

As the Ligue 1 season unfolds, an intriguing encounter is on the horizon with Metz hosting Montpellier at Stade Saint-Symphorien. The predictions are in, and they suggest a favorable outcome for the home side. But in football, the unexpected can always happen, and the key players on the pitch will have a significant say in the final result.

Key Players - Metz

Metz's lineup boasts some notable talent with the likes of Joel Joshoghene Asoro, an attacker who has demonstrated his ability to break through defenses. With a rating of 6.63, Asoro has managed to put one shot on target and has a total goal tally of one, which could be crucial in the upcoming match. In the midfield, Abdoulie Jallow has shown promise with a rating of 6.68, contributing key passes and maintaining a strong presence in the center of the park. Another midfielder to watch is Cheikh Tidiane Sabaly, who stands out with a rating of 6.76 and has netted two goals this season. His shots on target and key passes could be the difference-maker for Metz.

Key Players - Montpellier

On the opposing side, Montpellier's attack is spearheaded by Wahbi Khazri, who boasts a rating of 6.94 and has been a constant threat with one goal to his name. But the star of the show for the visitors is Akor Jerome Adams, an attacker with an impressive rating of 7.07 and a remarkable total of seven goals. His 18 shots on target from 28 attempts highlight his efficiency and lethality in front of the goal. Additionally, Arnaud Dominique Nordin, with a rating of 7.10, has contributed two goals and one assist, proving himself as another vital cog in Montpellier's offensive machine.

Recent Form

Metz's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in two wins, two draws, and one loss (LWWDD). They currently sit at 11th place in the league with 16 points. Montpellier, sitting just two places below Metz at 13th with 13 points, have struggled to find consistency, as reflected in their recent form of one loss, two draws, and two losses (LDLDL).

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head history between these two teams is not provided in the data, but their current season's performances and standings in the league give us a glimpse into their competitive nature. Both teams will be eager to claim victory and improve their positions in the league table.

Prediction

The predictions lean towards a positive result for Metz, with a "Double chance: Metz or draw" being the advised outcome. The percentages favor the home side, with Metz having a 45% chance of winning and a 45% chance of a draw, while Montpellier has a mere 10% chance of taking all three points. The form, attack, and defense ratings also favor Metz, suggesting they are the better-balanced team coming into this match.

Moreover, the poisson distribution, which is a statistical measure, slightly favors Montpellier (53%) over Metz (47%) for scoring. However, the overall total percent is in favor of Metz (63.5%) compared to Montpellier (36.5%), which takes into account the teams' current form and historical head-to-head results.

Considering all factors, the final prediction is that Metz, with their solid home record and the momentum from their recent performances, are likely to either win or secure a draw. With key players like Joel Joshoghene Asoro and Cheikh Tidiane Sabaly in good form, they have the firepower to overcome Montpellier's challenges. On the other hand, Montpellier will rely heavily on the goal-scoring prowess of Akor Jerome Adams to disrupt the home team's plans.

In conclusion, the match promises to be a tightly contested affair, but Metz's slight edge in form and home advantage could be the deciding factors. Expect a close game with Metz likely to come out on top or, at the very least, hold Montpellier to a draw.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

70%
30%

Attacking Potential

78%
22%

Defensive Potential

46%
54%

Poisson Distribution

44%
56%

Stregth H2H

62%
38%

Goals H2H

54%
46%

Wins the game

59%
41%

Metz - Montpellier Head to Head

Ligue 1 standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain players, news and schedule Paris Saint Germain 28 18 9 1 65 24 41 63
2 Stade Brestois 29 players, news and schedule Stade Brestois 29 28 15 8 5 41 23 18 53
3 Lille players, news and schedule Lille 28 13 10 5 42 25 17 49
4 Monaco players, news and schedule Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 14 49
5 Nice players, news and schedule Nice 28 12 8 8 28 22 6 44
6 Lens players, news and schedule Lens 28 12 7 9 37 30 7 43
7 Reims players, news and schedule Reims 28 11 7 10 35 36 -1 40
8 Marseille players, news and schedule Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 8 39
9 Rennes players, news and schedule Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 7 39
10 Lyon players, news and schedule Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse players, news and schedule Toulouse 28 8 9 11 32 36 -4 33
12 Strasbourg players, news and schedule Strasbourg 28 8 9 11 30 39 -9 33
13 Montpellier players, news and schedule Montpellier 28 8 9 11 35 40 -5 32
14 LE Havre players, news and schedule LE Havre 28 6 10 12 27 36 -9 28
15 Nantes players, news and schedule Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
16 Lorient players, news and schedule Lorient 28 6 8 14 35 52 -17 26
17 Metz players, news and schedule Metz 28 6 5 17 28 48 -20 23
18 Clermont Foot players, news and schedule Clermont Foot 28 4 9 15 20 47 -27 21