Monaco - Lyon

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

85'

0 - 1

Goal

Jeffinho

A. Maitland-Niles (Assist)

31'		Clinton Mata	Holding
30'		W. Singo
29'		W. Singo	Tripping

88'			In:	I. Jakobs	Out:	K. Ouattara
83'			In:	E. Nuamah	Out:	Jeffinho
83'			In:	A. Lacazette	Out:	T. Kadewere
78'			In:	M. Akliouche	Out:	W. Ben Yedder
74'			In:	N. Tagliafico	Out:	Henrique
71'			In:	R. Cherki	Out:	M. Diawara
71'			In:	C. Tolisso	Out:	A. Maitland-Niles
70'			In:	M. Camara	Out:	E. Diop

Monaco - Lyon Predictions

Prediction: Monaco or draw

Best odds: 1.22

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In the picturesque setting of Stade Louis II in Monaco, a clash of contrasting fortunes is set to unfold in Ligue 1, as the high-flying Monaco take on a struggling Lyon side. With predictions leaning heavily towards the home team, can Lyon defy the odds, or will Monaco solidify their position at the top end of the table?

Key Players to Watch

Monaco's ascent this season can be attributed to a few standout performers. Among them is Myron Boadu, whose attacking prowess has been pivotal, despite a modest goal tally. His partner in crime, Folarin Jerry Balogun, has been more prolific, with his clinical finishing and an assist to his name. Not to be overshadowed, the defensive solidity of Guillermo Alfonso Maripán Loaysa has been a cornerstone for Monaco, contributing both at the back and on the scoresheet.

On the other side, Lyon's hopes may rest on the shoulders of Ernest Nuamah Appiah Kusi, whose attacking flair has been a silver lining in an otherwise cloudy season. The experience and defensive acumen of Nicolás Alejandro Tagliafico will be vital in thwarting Monaco's attacks. And, of course, the talismanic Alexandre Armand Lacazette remains Lyon's best bet for goals, with his team-leading tally offering a glimmer of hope.

Recent Form

Monaco's recent form has been a mixed bag with a pattern of "WLDWL" in their last five games, indicating some inconsistency. Nevertheless, their overall performance has been strong enough to place them third in the league standings. Lyon, languishing in 18th place, has struggled to find their footing this season, as reflected in their "LLWDL" sequence, which showcases their battle with inconsistency and form.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides offers a fascinating narrative. In their most recent encounter on May 19, 2023, Lyon emerged victorious with a 3-1 win. However, Monaco had secured a win in the previous meeting, edging out Lyon 2-1 on September 11, 2022. This back-and-forth history suggests a competitive rivalry, with each team having demonstrated the ability to best the other.

Prediction

As the teams prepare for their upcoming fixture, predictions and statistics heavily favor a Monaco victory. With a 45% chance of winning and another 45% for a draw, the odds are stacked against Lyon, who only hold a 10% chance of claiming all three points. The advice of "Double chance: Monaco or draw" further cements the expectation that Monaco will not lose this match.

The form, attacking strength, and defensive capabilities all point towards a home team advantage, with Monaco's form rated at 64 compared to Lyon's 36. The Poisson distribution also supports this, with an 85% likelihood of a home win versus a mere 15% for an away victory. Moreover, despite Lyon's historical edge in head-to-head encounters, the current season's dynamics suggest that Monaco is better positioned to take the spoils.

In conclusion, while football is famously unpredictable, the data and form guide suggest a strong likelihood of a Monaco win or draw in this encounter. Lyon's fight for survival could inspire a spirited performance, but the quality and consistency of Monaco make them the favorites to extend their positive run in the league.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

63%

38%

Attacking Potential

57%

43%

Defensive Potential

57%

43%

Poisson Distribution

88%

12%

Stregth H2H

40%

60%

Goals H2H

44%

56%

Wins the game

58%

42%

Monaco - Lyon Head to Head

27/04	Lyon	-	Monaco
15/12	Monaco	0 - 1	Lyon
19/05	Lyon	3 - 1	Monaco
11/09	Monaco	2 - 1	Lyon

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21