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Monaco - Paris Saint Germain Predictions
As the Stade Louis II prepares to host a thrilling Ligue 1 encounter on a serene Sunday, all eyes are on the anticipated clash between the home side Monaco and the table-toppers Paris Saint Germain. With predictions hinting at a probable win or draw for the visitors, the match promises to be a spectacle filled with tactical battles and individual brilliance.
Key Players to Watch
Monaco's hopes may rest on the shoulders of their attacking talent, Myron Boadu, whose rating of 6.57 and knack for getting shots on target could prove pivotal against a robust PSG defense. Alongside him, the defensive solidity of Guillermo Alfonso Maripán Loaysa with a rating of 6.65 and an impressive 642 total passes will be crucial in thwarting the Parisians' attack. The dynamic Folarin Jerry Balogun, with his 6.88 rating, 16 shots on target, and 4 goals, adds to Monaco's offensive threat.Paris Saint Germain, on the other hand, boasts their own set of stars. Midfield maestro Carlos Soler Barragán with a 6.83 rating, has been instrumental in the midfield, contributing 2 assists and maintaining a strong presence with 393 passes. The effervescent Randal Kolo Muani, rated at 7.01, has been a revelation in attack, netting 6 goals and providing 2 assists. Not to be overlooked, Fabián Ruiz Peña, with a 7.03 rating, has been the linchpin in midfield, showcasing his prowess with 574 passes and adding a goal to his name.
Recent Form
Monaco's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games reading LWDDL. Their inconsistent performances have left them in 4th place, with a goals difference of +9. In contrast, PSG's form has been nothing short of dominant, as reflected in their WWWDW streak. The Parisians have established a commanding lead at the top of the table, boasting a significant goals difference of +35.Head-to-Head History
The historical encounters between these two sides offer a glimpse of the competitive nature of this fixture. In their last meeting on November 24, 2023, PSG overwhelmed Monaco with a 5-2 victory. However, Monaco had previously managed to secure a 3-1 win against the Parisians on February 11, 2023. The encounter before that, on August 28, 2022, ended in a 1-1 stalemate, suggesting that Monaco can indeed hold their own against the might of PSG.Prediction
The predictions and statistical analysis provide a fascinating outlook on the upcoming match. PSG is the favored side with a 62.3% chance of taking the victory, according to the total percent away metric. Meanwhile, Monaco is not far behind, with a 37.7% chance of winning at home. The advice leans towards a "Double chance: draw or Paris Saint Germain," suggesting that a tight contest is on the horizon.The poisson distribution model also favors PSG strongly, with a 73% chance over Monaco's 27%. The head-to-head record is evenly split at 50-50, indicating that past encounters have been closely fought. The goals percentage predicts an even distribution of 50-50 for both teams, which could hint at a potentially high-scoring affair.
Taking into account the recent form, the formidable strength of PSG, and the individual quality of key players such as Carlos Soler Barragán and Randal Kolo Muani, the prediction is leaning towards an away victory or a draw. However, with Monaco's tenacity and the likes of Myron Boadu and Folarin Jerry Balogun on the pitch, an upset cannot be entirely ruled out.
In conclusion, while PSG is the favorite to either win or share the spoils, the unpredictable nature of football coupled with Monaco's determination to clinch a Champions League spot could make this match one of the most captivating fixtures of the Ligue 1 season.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Monaco - Paris Saint Germain Head to Head
| 01/03 | Monaco |
- | Paris Saint Germain |
| 24/11 | Paris Saint Germain |
5 - 2 | Monaco |
| 11/02 | Monaco |
3 - 1 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 28/08 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 - 1 | Monaco |
Ligue 1 standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
| 2 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 53 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 |
Nice
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 |
Lens
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 |
Reims
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 40 |
| 8 |
Marseille
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 |
Rennes
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 39 |
| 10 |
Lyon
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 13 |
Montpellier
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 |
LE Havre
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 |
Lorient
|
28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
| 17 |
Metz
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 |
Clermont Foot
|
28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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