Monaco - Toulouse

Regular Season - 22
Stade Louis-II
Kickoff: 2024-02-18 13:00

Who will win?

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Monaco - Toulouse Predictions

Prediction: Monaco or draw
Best odds: 1.16

As the Ligue 1 season unfolds, the upcoming clash between Monaco and Toulouse is set to be a riveting encounter, with predictions hinting at a potential home advantage. Will Monaco solidify their Champions League aspirations, or can Toulouse cause an upset? Let's delve into the key players and historical data to forecast the outcome of this match.

Monaco's Key Players

Monaco's quest for a top-four finish is bolstered by their attacking prowess, particularly Myron Boadu, who has shown his capability in front of goal. Despite a modest rating of 6.62, his clinical nature is evident with a goal tally that Monaco will hope to increase against Toulouse.

The real standout for the home side, however, is Folarin Jerry Balogun. With a rating of 6.92, Balogun's 16 shots on target from 25 attempts and 3 assists demonstrate his importance to Monaco's attack. His contribution of 4 goals so far adds to the team's confidence.

On the defensive end, Guillermo Alfonso Maripán Loaysa stands out with a solid rating of 7.00. His defensive acumen, combined with an ability to contribute to the scoreline, makes him an invaluable asset to the team's backline.

Toulouse's Key Players

Toulouse, sitting lower in the standings, will rely on their key players to snatch points away from home. Zakaria Aboukhlal, with a rating of 6.78, has proven his worth by finding the back of the net 3 times, and his performance will be crucial for Toulouse's attacking efforts.

In the midfield, César Gelabert Piña has a rating of 6.84 and has provided a spark with 1 assist and a goal to his name. His creativity will be essential in breaking down Monaco's defense.

Leading Toulouse's attack is Frank Magri, who boasts a rating of 6.86. His 11 shots on target from 23 attempts and 4 goals highlight his threat in front of goal, and stopping him will be key for Monaco.

Recent Form

Monaco's recent form shows a mixed bag with "DLWLW" in their last five games, indicating some inconsistency. However, their home record is strong, with 6 wins out of 9 games, suggesting they are formidable on their own turf.

Toulouse, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency, with a recent form reading "LWLDL". Their away record shows only 2 wins from 10 matches, which could be a concern when facing a side like Monaco.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record leans in favor of Monaco, with recent encounters on December 20, 2023 and June 3, 2023, ending in 2-1 and 2-1 victories, respectively, for Monaco. An earlier match on November 6, 2022, also saw Monaco triumph with a 2-0 scoreline. This history could play a psychological role in the upcoming match.

Prediction

Considering the strength of Monaco's squad, their home record, and the historical advantage they hold over Toulouse, the prediction leans towards a Monaco victory. The prediction model suggests a "Double chance: Monaco or draw" with a strong emphasis on Monaco's win or draw possibility, reflected in the percentages of 45% for a home win and 45% for a draw.

The key players' form, especially that of Folarin Jerry Balogun and Guillermo Alfonso Maripán Loaysa for Monaco, and Frank Magri for Toulouse, will be pivotal in determining the outcome. However, with the overall team strength and momentum, Monaco is expected to secure a win, potentially with a scoreline that respects the under 2.5 goal threshold for the home side and under 1.5 for the away side.

In conclusion, while Toulouse will not make it easy, Monaco's quality and historical dominance suggest they will emerge victorious in this Ligue 1 encounter, further cementing their position in the quest for Champions League football next season.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

57%
43%

Attacking Potential

60%
40%

Defensive Potential

47%
53%

Poisson Distribution

72%
28%

Stregth H2H

71%
29%

Goals H2H

64%
36%

Wins the game

62%
38%

Monaco - Toulouse Head to Head

Ligue 1 standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain players, news and schedule Paris Saint Germain 28 18 9 1 65 24 41 63
2 Stade Brestois 29 players, news and schedule Stade Brestois 29 28 15 8 5 41 23 18 53
3 Lille players, news and schedule Lille 28 13 10 5 42 25 17 49
4 Monaco players, news and schedule Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 14 49
5 Nice players, news and schedule Nice 28 12 8 8 28 22 6 44
6 Lens players, news and schedule Lens 28 12 7 9 37 30 7 43
7 Reims players, news and schedule Reims 28 11 7 10 35 36 -1 40
8 Marseille players, news and schedule Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 8 39
9 Rennes players, news and schedule Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 7 39
10 Lyon players, news and schedule Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse players, news and schedule Toulouse 28 8 9 11 32 36 -4 33
12 Strasbourg players, news and schedule Strasbourg 28 8 9 11 30 39 -9 33
13 Montpellier players, news and schedule Montpellier 28 8 9 11 35 40 -5 32
14 LE Havre players, news and schedule LE Havre 28 6 10 12 27 36 -9 28
15 Nantes players, news and schedule Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
16 Lorient players, news and schedule Lorient 28 6 8 14 35 52 -17 26
17 Metz players, news and schedule Metz 28 6 5 17 28 48 -20 23
18 Clermont Foot players, news and schedule Clermont Foot 28 4 9 15 20 47 -27 21