Montpellier - Lorient

Regular Season - 28
Kickoff: 2024-04-06 15:00

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

Montpellier - Lorient Predictions

Prediction: Montpellier or draw
Best odds: 1.21

As the Ligue 1 season progresses, a pivotal clash is on the horizon at Stade de la Mosson, where Montpellier will lock horns with Lorient. With both teams sitting neck and neck on the points table, the predictions are tantalizingly poised. Will Montpellier capitalize on their home advantage, or can Lorient disrupt the odds on a Sunday that promises to be filled with drama?

Key Players

Montpellier's hopes may well rest on the shoulders of their midfield maestro, Khalil Fayad. With a rating of 6.77, his ability to orchestrate play has been evident with 211 total passes and a critical 6 key passes this season. Upfront, the spotlight will be on Akor Jerome Adams, whose 6.84 rating and 7 goals make him a formidable threat. His 31 shots on target from 48 attempts underscore his role as Montpellier's attacking spearhead.

Not to be outdone, Lorient's defense will be marshaled by Benjamin Mendy, whose experience and 6.45 rating will be critical in thwarting Montpellier's advances. In the attacking third, Aiyegun Oluwatosin Tosin, with a 6.73 rating and 2 goals, will look to exploit any gaps. The midfield dynamism comes from Eli Junior Eric Anat Kroupi, who has notched up 4 goals and provided 3 assists, making him a player to watch in the heart of Lorient's play.

Recent Form

Montpellier's recent form reads like a mixed bag with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings. Their inconsistency has been a concern, but the team has shown resilience at home, which could be a deciding factor in this encounter.

Lorient, on the other hand, comes into the match with a slightly better run, having secured two wins and three draws. Their ability to grind out results could serve them well as they seek to escape the lower reaches of the table.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides points to a Montpellier advantage. In their last meeting on October 1, 2023, Montpellier emerged victorious with a 3-0 win at Lorient's home ground. The previous encounter on May 14, 2023, ended in a 1-1 stalemate, while Montpellier also took the spoils in a 2-0 win on December 29, 2022.

Prediction

Taking into account the head-to-head history, recent form, and the individual talents on display, this match is shaping up to be a closely fought affair. The predictions lean towards Montpellier, with a "win or draw" scenario being the most likely outcome. The double chance of a Montpellier win or draw seems to be a prudent bet, with the home side boasting a total percent chance of 62.2% against Lorient's 37.8%.

The key battle will likely be between Montpellier's attacking prowess, led by the likes of Akor Jerome Adams and Wahbi Khazri, and Lorient's defensive resolve, where Benjamin Mendy will need to be at his best.

Ultimately, Montpellier's home form and the firepower they possess upfront might just tilt the balance in their favor. With a predicted goals range of under 2.5 for each team, don't expect a high-scoring affair, but rather a tactical battle that could be decided by a moment of brilliance or a defensive lapse. Therefore, the final prediction is a narrow victory or a draw for the home side, with Montpellier likely to edge out Lorient in what promises to be a compelling Ligue 1 showdown.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

64%
36%

Attacking Potential

69%
31%

Defensive Potential

35%
65%

Poisson Distribution

54%
46%

Stregth H2H

93%
7%

Goals H2H

83%
17%

Wins the game

66%
34%

Montpellier - Lorient Head to Head

Ligue 1 standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain players, news and schedule Paris Saint Germain 28 18 9 1 65 24 41 63
2 Stade Brestois 29 players, news and schedule Stade Brestois 29 28 15 8 5 41 23 18 53
3 Lille players, news and schedule Lille 28 13 10 5 42 25 17 49
4 Monaco players, news and schedule Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 14 49
5 Nice players, news and schedule Nice 28 12 8 8 28 22 6 44
6 Lens players, news and schedule Lens 28 12 7 9 37 30 7 43
7 Reims players, news and schedule Reims 28 11 7 10 35 36 -1 40
8 Marseille players, news and schedule Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 8 39
9 Rennes players, news and schedule Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 7 39
10 Lyon players, news and schedule Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse players, news and schedule Toulouse 28 8 9 11 32 36 -4 33
12 Strasbourg players, news and schedule Strasbourg 28 8 9 11 30 39 -9 33
13 Montpellier players, news and schedule Montpellier 28 8 9 11 35 40 -5 32
14 LE Havre players, news and schedule LE Havre 28 6 10 12 27 36 -9 28
15 Nantes players, news and schedule Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
16 Lorient players, news and schedule Lorient 28 6 8 14 35 52 -17 26
17 Metz players, news and schedule Metz 28 6 5 17 28 48 -20 23
18 Clermont Foot players, news and schedule Clermont Foot 28 4 9 15 20 47 -27 21