Montpellier - Lorient

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

90'		2 - 0	Goal	Y. Karamoh	A. Nordin (Assist)
55'		1 - 0	Penalty	T. Savanier

61'		W. Khazri	Tripping
51'		N. Adjei
45'		F. Mendy
44'		D. Yongwa	Roughing
42'		T. Savanier	Tripping
14'		J. Ferri	Foul

81'			In:	B. Bouanani	Out:	E. Kroupi
81'			In:	M. Bamba	Out:	B. Dieng
76'			In:	I. Louza	Out:	T. Bakayoko
76'			In:	D. Yongwa	Out:	B. Mendy
76'			In:	J. Ferri	Out:	C. Jullien
71'			In:	W. Khazri	Out:	Y. Karamoh
69'			In:	A. Kari	Out:	J. Ponceau
46'			In:	Mousa Al Ta'mari	Out:	T. Coulibaly

Montpellier - Lorient Predictions

Prediction: Montpellier or draw

Best odds: 1.21

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As the Ligue 1 season progresses, a pivotal clash is on the horizon at Stade de la Mosson, where Montpellier will lock horns with Lorient. With both teams sitting neck and neck on the points table, the predictions are tantalizingly poised. Will Montpellier capitalize on their home advantage, or can Lorient disrupt the odds on a Sunday that promises to be filled with drama?

Key Players

Montpellier's hopes may well rest on the shoulders of their midfield maestro, Khalil Fayad. With a rating of 6.77, his ability to orchestrate play has been evident with 211 total passes and a critical 6 key passes this season. Upfront, the spotlight will be on Akor Jerome Adams, whose 6.84 rating and 7 goals make him a formidable threat. His 31 shots on target from 48 attempts underscore his role as Montpellier's attacking spearhead.

Not to be outdone, Lorient's defense will be marshaled by Benjamin Mendy, whose experience and 6.45 rating will be critical in thwarting Montpellier's advances. In the attacking third, Aiyegun Oluwatosin Tosin, with a 6.73 rating and 2 goals, will look to exploit any gaps. The midfield dynamism comes from Eli Junior Eric Anat Kroupi, who has notched up 4 goals and provided 3 assists, making him a player to watch in the heart of Lorient's play.

Recent Form

Montpellier's recent form reads like a mixed bag with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings. Their inconsistency has been a concern, but the team has shown resilience at home, which could be a deciding factor in this encounter.

Lorient, on the other hand, comes into the match with a slightly better run, having secured two wins and three draws. Their ability to grind out results could serve them well as they seek to escape the lower reaches of the table.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides points to a Montpellier advantage. In their last meeting on October 1, 2023, Montpellier emerged victorious with a 3-0 win at Lorient's home ground. The previous encounter on May 14, 2023, ended in a 1-1 stalemate, while Montpellier also took the spoils in a 2-0 win on December 29, 2022.

Prediction

Taking into account the head-to-head history, recent form, and the individual talents on display, this match is shaping up to be a closely fought affair. The predictions lean towards Montpellier, with a "win or draw" scenario being the most likely outcome. The double chance of a Montpellier win or draw seems to be a prudent bet, with the home side boasting a total percent chance of 62.2% against Lorient's 37.8%.

The key battle will likely be between Montpellier's attacking prowess, led by the likes of Akor Jerome Adams and Wahbi Khazri, and Lorient's defensive resolve, where Benjamin Mendy will need to be at his best.

Ultimately, Montpellier's home form and the firepower they possess upfront might just tilt the balance in their favor. With a predicted goals range of under 2.5 for each team, don't expect a high-scoring affair, but rather a tactical battle that could be decided by a moment of brilliance or a defensive lapse. Therefore, the final prediction is a narrow victory or a draw for the home side, with Montpellier likely to edge out Lorient in what promises to be a compelling Ligue 1 showdown.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

64%

36%

Attacking Potential

69%

31%

Defensive Potential

35%

65%

Poisson Distribution

54%

46%

Stregth H2H

93%

7%

Goals H2H

83%

17%

Wins the game

66%

34%

Montpellier - Lorient Head to Head

06/04	Montpellier	2 - 0	Lorient
01/10	Lorient	0 - 3	Montpellier
14/05	Montpellier	1 - 1	Lorient
29/12	Lorient	0 - 2	Montpellier

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21