Montpellier - Marseille

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

52'		1 - 1	Goal	J. Veretout
14'		1 - 0	Goal	K. Fayad

55'		S. Gigot	Tripping
44'		C. Jullien	Roughing

87'			In:	S. Gigot	Out:	B. Meïté
74'			In:	Mousa Al Ta'mari	Out:	T. Coulibaly
74'			In:	A. Adams	Out:	K. Yeboah
73'			In:	I. Ndiaye	Out:	Vítinha
73'			In:	A. Ounahi	Out:	A. Harit
72'			In:	I. Ndiaye	Out:	Vítinha
72'			In:	A. Ounahi	Out:	A. Harit
61'			In:	K. Fayad	Out:	J. Ferri
61'			In:	L. Mincarelli Davin	Out:	F. Sacko
60'			In:	L. Mincarelli Davin	Out:	F. Sacko

Montpellier - Marseille Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Marseille

Best odds: 1.35

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As the Ligue 1 season heats up, a tantalizing encounter is on the cards as Montpellier prepares to host Marseille at the Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98 on a chilly Wednesday evening. With predictions favoring an away advantage and a low-scoring affair, fans and pundits alike are bracing for a match that could have significant implications for both teams' standings.

Key Players to Watch

Montpellier's attacking prowess this season has been largely dependent on the contributions of their key players. Wahbi Khazri, with a rating of 6.94, has been a crucial figure, managing to put 6 shots on target from a total of 14. Despite only netting once, his presence on the field creates opportunities for his team. Alongside him, Akor Jerome Adams, with an impressive rating of 7.07, has been the standout performer. His 18 shots on target from 28 attempts and a team-high 7 goals make him the one to watch. Lastly, Arnaud Dominique Nordin, with a rating of 7.10, has been instrumental with 2 goals and an assist to his name.

Marseille's midfield dynamo, Azzedine Ounahi, boasts a rating of 6.83 and has been a key distributor of the ball, as evidenced by his 254 passes and 5 key passes. In the attacking third, Iliman Cheikh Baroy Ndiaye has been a valuable asset with a rating of 6.85, contributing 2 assists and a goal. But it's the experience of Pierre-Emerick Emiliano François Aubameyang, with a rating of 6.89, that could be the game-changer for Marseille. His 3 assists and 2 goals from 8 shots on target are indicative of a player who can turn the game on its head.

Recent Form

Montpellier's recent form has been far from convincing, with a string of draws and losses (DLDLD) leaving them at the 14th spot with 14 points. Their home record this season has seen just one win, five draws, and two losses, suggesting a struggle to capitalize on home advantage.

Marseille, on the other hand, sits at 6th place with 23 points and has shown more consistency. Their last five games (WWWDL) include three wins, indicating a potential to climb higher up the table. However, their away form has been less than stellar, with only one win out of eight games on the road.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides points to a competitive history. The most recent encounters ended in a draw (1-1) on March 31, 2023, and a narrow Marseille victory (2-1) on January 2, 2023. This suggests that while Marseille may have the upper hand, Montpellier is capable of putting up a staunch resistance.

Prediction

The predictions point towards a favorable outcome for Marseille, with a win or draw being the most likely result. The statistical analysis suggests a double chance of a draw or Marseille victory and fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. The percentages also tilt in favor of the away side, with a 45% chance for both a draw and an away win, compared to just 10% for a home victory.

The form of key players like Adams for Montpellier and Aubameyang for Marseille will be crucial, but the overall team dynamics and recent performances indicate that Marseille might have the edge. With a stronger attack and defense, as reflected in the ratings, and a more impressive form away, Marseille is poised to take at least a point from this encounter.

In conclusion, the match is expected to be tightly contested, but with the quality and form of Marseille being superior, especially in the attacking department, they are predicted to either win or hold Montpellier to a draw. The smart advice would be a combo double chance: draw or Marseille and under 3.5 goals. Expect a strategic battle with both teams looking to secure crucial points as the season progresses.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

28%

72%

Attacking Potential

20%

80%

Defensive Potential

40%

60%

Poisson Distribution

50%

50%

Stregth H2H

15%

85%

Goals H2H

36%

64%

Wins the game

32%

69%

Montpellier - Marseille Head to Head

25/02	Marseille	-	Montpellier
20/12	Montpellier	1 - 1	Marseille
31/03	Marseille	1 - 1	Montpellier
02/01	Montpellier	1 - 2	Marseille

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21