Montpellier - Metz

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

85'		3 - 0	Penalty	T. Savanier
50'		2 - 0	Goal	M. Sagnan
3'		1 - 0	Goal	I. Sylla	J. Ferri (Assist)

83'		Fali Candé	Tripping
78'		J. Asoro
69'		B. Omeragić	Tripping
30'		M. Sagnan	Holding
13'		K. Kouyaté
12'		K. Kouyaté	Tripping

89'			In:	T. Savanier	Out:	K. Fayad
89'			In:	Mousa Al Ta'mari	Out:	T. Coulibaly
79'			In:	A. Nordin	Out:	A. Adams
79'			In:	J. Ferri	Out:	L. Leroy
76'			In:	D. Lamkel Zé	Out:	C. Sabaly
75'			In:	B. Omeragić	Out:	F. Sacko
68'			In:	K. Van Den Kerkhof	Out:	J. Asoro
63'			In:	J. N'Duquidi	Out:	A. Atta
63'			In:	I. Traoré	Out:	Fali Candé

Montpellier - Metz Predictions

Prediction: Montpellier or draw

Best odds: 1.21

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As the Ligue 1 season unfolds, the upcoming clash between Montpellier and Metz at the Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98 promises to be a pivotal encounter for both sides. With predictions hinting at a possible edge for the home side, fans are eagerly anticipating whether Montpellier can capitalize on their home advantage or if Metz can upset the odds and take home crucial points.

Key Players - Montpellier

Montpellier's hopes lie heavily on the shoulders of their key players. Khalil Fayad, the dynamic midfielder, has been a steady presence in the heart of the pitch, boasting a rating of 6.77. With 2 goals to his name and a penchant for creating opportunities, his contribution could be vital. The attacking prowess of Wahbi Khazri, rated at 6.86, cannot be overlooked either. His 13 shots on target from 25 attempts signify a threat that the Metz defense will need to contain.

However, it's Akor Jerome Adams, with a team-high rating of 6.96 and an impressive 7 goals from 27 shots on target, who stands out as the linchpin of Montpellier's attack. His form in front of goal could be the deciding factor in this encounter.

Key Players - Metz

Metz will rely on Joel Joshoghene Asoro, an attacker who has managed to find the net twice this season. His rating of 6.65 reflects his potential to make a difference. Meanwhile, Simon Elisor, with a rating of 6.69, has also been a key figure in Metz's offense, contributing 1 goal and 10 key passes.

The defensive solidity for Metz comes in the form of Ismaël Abdul Rahman Roch Traoré, a defender with a 6.71 rating who has also chipped in with a goal. His ability to thwart Montpellier's attacking threats will be crucial for Metz to secure a positive result.

Recent Form

Montpellier's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in a win, two draws, and two losses. Currently placed 12th in the league with 19 points, their home record of one win, seven draws, and two losses suggests a tendency for stalemates on their turf.

On the other side, Metz's form is a cause for concern, with five consecutive losses leaving them in the 15th spot, just a point away from the relegation zone. Their away record does not inspire confidence either, with three wins and six losses from ten games.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a glimmer of hope for Montpellier, who emerged victorious in the last encounter with Metz on December 17, 2023, clinching a narrow 1-0 win. This recent history might play a psychological role as the two teams prepare to face off once again.

Prediction

Taking into account the home advantage, current form, and key player performances, the prediction leans towards a Montpellier win or draw, with a strong suggestion of a low-scoring affair (under 3.5 goals). The statistical analysis gives Montpellier a 45% chance of victory, mirroring the probability of a draw, while Metz's chances stand at a mere 10%.

The advice for those looking to forecast the outcome is a "Combo Double chance: Montpellier or draw and -3.5 goals." This reflects the expectation of a tight game with limited goal action, a scenario that Montpellier, with their superior form and home record, could exploit to their advantage.

In conclusion, while Metz will undoubtedly fight to break their losing streak, the odds and Montpellier's key players like Akor Jerome Adams might prove too much for them to overcome. Expect a strategic battle, with Montpellier likely to edge out as the favorites in what promises to be a compelling Ligue 1 fixture.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

67%

33%

Attacking Potential

50%

50%

Defensive Potential

53%

47%

Poisson Distribution

56%

44%

Stregth H2H

62%

38%

Goals H2H

58%

42%

Wins the game

58%

42%

Montpellier - Metz Head to Head

18/02	Montpellier	3 - 0	Metz
17/12	Metz	0 - 1	Montpellier

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21