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Montpellier - Strasbourg Predictions
As the French Ligue 1 gears up for another thrilling encounter, all eyes turn to the Stade de la Mosson where Montpellier will host Strasbourg on a serene Sunday. With predictions leaning towards a home advantage, the question lingers—will Montpellier capitalize on their turf, or can Strasbourg defy the odds?
Key Players
Montpellier's hopes may rest on the shoulders of their midfield maestro, Khalil Fayad. With a rating of 6.77, Fayad's vision and execution have been crucial, as reflected by his 211 total passes and 6 key passes. His contribution of 2 goals this season might seem modest, but his influence on the pitch extends beyond mere numbers.The attacking front is spearheaded by Wahbi Khazri, whose prowess and agility have earned him a rating of 6.86. Khazri's 13 shots on target from 25 attempts illustrate his threat in front of goal, and while he's found the back of the net once, his potential for more is palpable.
Leading the charge, however, is Akor Jerome Adams. The attacker, with the highest rating of 6.91 among his teammates, has terrorized defenses with 29 shots on target and a commendable tally of 7 goals. Adams' form could be the deciding factor in this matchup.
Strasbourg's attack features Emanuel Esseh Emegha, a young talent with a rating of 6.64, who has already notched up 4 goals. His 11 shots on target from 23 attempts and an assist show he's a rising force to be reckoned with.
The experience of Lebogang Mothiba complements the youthful exuberance of Emegha. With a rating of 6.70, Mothiba's 3 goals from 7 shots on target underscore his efficiency and could spell trouble for the Montpellier backline.
Lastly, Kevin Dominique Gameiro brings balance and finesse to the team. With a rating of 6.72, his 2 goals and an assist from 8 shots on target are a testament to his clinical nature in front of goal.
Recent Form
Montpellier's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a pattern of WLLDL. Sitting at 14th in the league with 22 points, they have won 5, drawn 8, and lost 9 of their 22 games. Their home form, however, gives a glimmer of hope with only 3 losses in 12 games.Strasbourg, on the other hand, finds themselves in a less than ideal form with LLLDD. They hold the 10th spot with 25 points, having 6 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses. Their away record is not particularly inspiring, with just 2 wins in 11 outings.
Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record between these two teams doesn't reveal a clear favorite. Their last encounter on September 17, 2023, ended in a 2-2 stalemate. Before that, Strasbourg managed a 2-0 victory over Montpellier on February 5, 2023. However, Montpellier had previously secured a 2-1 win against Strasbourg on September 17, 2022, showcasing their potential to clinch a win.Prediction
Considering the form of key players, recent performances, and historical matchups, the prediction tilts in favor of Montpellier. With a double chance of Montpellier or draw being the safest bet, it's predicted that the home side will either win or secure a draw. The percentages also favor Montpellier, with a total percent home advantage of 55.8% against Strasbourg's 44.3%.The presence of Akor Jerome Adams and Khalil Fayad for Montpellier could be pivotal, while Emanuel Esseh Emegha and Kevin Dominique Gameiro are expected to carry the threat for Strasbourg. Yet, the overall assessment suggests that Montpellier, with a form home of 67% against Strasbourg's form away of 33%, might have just enough to edge past their opponents.
In conclusion, expect Montpellier to leverage their home advantage and key player performances to secure at least a point in this encounter. The final prediction: Montpellier to win or draw in a match that could very well be decided by moments of individual brilliance.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
Attacking Potential
Defensive Potential
Poisson Distribution
Stregth H2H
Goals H2H
Wins the game
Montpellier - Strasbourg Head to Head
| 03/03 | Montpellier |
- | Strasbourg |
| 17/09 | Strasbourg |
2 - 2 | Montpellier |
| 05/02 | Strasbourg |
2 - 0 | Montpellier |
| 17/09 | Montpellier |
2 - 1 | Strasbourg |
Ligue 1 standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
| 2 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 53 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 |
Nice
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 |
Lens
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 |
Reims
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 40 |
| 8 |
Marseille
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 |
Rennes
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 39 |
| 10 |
Lyon
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 13 |
Montpellier
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 |
LE Havre
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 |
Lorient
|
28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
| 17 |
Metz
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 |
Clermont Foot
|
28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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