Nantes - Lens

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

48'		0 - 0	Goal	David Pereira da Costa	F. Medina (Assist)
21'		0 - -1	Goal disallowed: Offside

82'		K. Danso
82'		R. Aguilar	Tripping
61'		Douglas Augusto	Tripping
27'		T. Kadewere	Holding

86'			In:	A. Diouf	Out:	S. Abdul Samed
86'			In:	J. Chávez	Out:	M. Haïdara
79'			In:	E. Wahi	Out:	W. Saïd
78'			In:	David Pereira da Costa	Out:	A. Fulgini
78'			In:	F. Mollet	Out:	S. Appuah
78'			In:	T. Kadewere	Out:	M. Abline
59'			In:	M. Sissoko	Out:	K. Bamba
12'			In:	K. Amian	Out:	N. Pallois

Nantes - Lens Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Lens

Best odds: 1.35

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Prediction: Under 3.5

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As the Ligue 1 season progresses, fans are eagerly anticipating the upcoming clash between Nantes and Lens, set to take place at the Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. With predictions leaning towards a positive outcome for Lens, the question on everyone's mind is whether Nantes can upset the odds and secure a much-needed victory in front of their home crowd.

Key Players

Nantes, currently positioned 13th in the league, will be relying heavily on their midfield maestro, Samuel Alain Moutoussamy. With a rating of 6.74, Moutoussamy's vision and passing, boasting 281 total passes and 10 key passes, will be crucial in carving out opportunities. Upfront, Marcus Regis Coco will be expected to capitalize on any chances created, with his rating of 6.75 reflecting his attacking prowess. Defensively, Jean-Charles Victor Castelletto will be tasked with maintaining solidity at the back, contributing not just in defense but also with a goal to his name.

Lens, sitting more comfortably at 8th place, will look to Adrien Thomasson to orchestrate play from the midfield. With a solid rating of 6.81, Thomasson's 455 passes and 17 key passes underline his importance to the team's build-up play. On the defensive end, Deiver Andrés Machado Mena stands out with a rating of 6.83, having contributed 3 goals, an impressive tally for a defender. In attack, the dynamic Morgan Bono Guilavogui will be pivotal, with his 6.85 rating and a total of 2 goals from 15 shots, indicating his threat in front of goal.

Recent Form

Nantes' recent form has been a cause for concern, with four losses and only one win in their last five games. Their struggle to find consistency is reflected in their negative goal difference and their precarious position in the lower half of the table. Lens, on the other hand, has shown more promise with two wins, a draw, and two losses in their recent outings. Their positive goal difference and higher league rank suggest a team with the resilience to challenge for a better position as the season unfolds.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides provides an interesting context for the upcoming match. Their last encounter on October 28, 2023, saw Lens dominate with a convincing 4-0 victory. However, Nantes has managed to secure a win and a draw in the previous meetings, illustrating that they can indeed pose a threat to Lens. With scores of 2-1 and 0-0 in their favor, Nantes will be looking to replicate such performances to turn their season around.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, key player performances, and head-to-head history, the prediction leans towards an outcome favoring Lens. The double chance of a draw or Lens victory is advised, with a 45% probability for each outcome. The attacking edge of Lens, with a goals percentage of 67% away from home, compared to Nantes' 33% at home, suggests that Lens has the firepower to outscore their opponents. Moreover, the overall total percent indicates a 60.5% chance for an away team victory against Nantes' 39.7%.

In conclusion, while Nantes will be eager to leverage their home advantage and the skills of players like Samuel Alain Moutoussamy and Marcus Regis Coco, Lens appears to have the upper hand, particularly with the form of Adrien Thomasson and Morgan Bono Guilavogui. The match promises to be an intriguing encounter, but with the data at hand, a win or draw for Lens seems to be the most likely outcome. Fans of both teams will be looking forward to seeing if the predictions hold true or if Nantes can defy the odds and secure a victory in this Ligue 1 showdown.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

13%

88%

Attacking Potential

33%

67%

Defensive Potential

36%

64%

Poisson Distribution

48%

52%

Stregth H2H

38%

62%

Goals H2H

33%

67%

Wins the game

34%

67%

Nantes - Lens Head to Head

03/02	Nantes	0 - 1	Lens
28/10	Lens	4 - 0	Nantes
01/03	Nantes	2 - 1	Lens
19/02	Lens	3 - 1	Nantes
18/09	Nantes	0 - 0	Lens

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21