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Regular Season - 24
Kickoff: 2024-03-03 13:00
Who will win?
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Nantes - Metz Predictions
Prediction: Nantes or draw
Best odds: 1.24
As the Ligue 1 season heats up, the upcoming clash between Nantes and Metz at Stade de la Beaujoire promises to be a pivotal encounter in the battle for survival. With predictions favoring a Nantes win or draw, the stakes couldn't be higher as both teams fight to secure their place in France's top division.
Key Players - Nantes
For Nantes, the midfield dynamism of Samuel Alain Moutoussamy could prove crucial. His 6.74 rating, coupled with 281 total passes and 10 key passes, demonstrates his ability to dictate the tempo of the game. In defense, Jean-Charles Victor Castelletto stands out with a rating of 6.76, a testament to his defensive solidity with 802 passes total, reflecting his role as a ball-playing defender. In attack, Marcus Regis Coco, also rated at 6.76, adds a threat on the wing, with his pace and ability to create opportunities for his teammates.Key Players - Metz
Metz will look towards their attacking talent, Joel Joshoghene Asoro, who has notched up 2 goals and an assist this season. His rating of 6.65 and his willingness to take on defenders make him a potential game-changer. Simon Elisor, with a rating of 6.69, is another key figure in Metz's offensive line, with 7 shots on target from 11 attempts. The defense will rely on Ismaël Abdul Rahman Roch Traoré, whose rating of 6.71 and 410 total passes suggest reliability at the back.Recent Form
Nantes' recent form shows a mixed bag of results with "LWLDL" in their last five games, indicating inconsistency in their performances. However, playing at home might give them the edge they need to secure vital points. Metz, on the other hand, is struggling with form, as evidenced by their "LDLLL" sequence, which has left them teetering on the edge of the relegation zone.Head-to-Head History
The head-to-head record provides an interesting subplot, with the last encounter on November 12, 2023, ending in a 3-1 victory for Metz. While history favors Metz in that encounter, the dynamics of a relegation battle can often overturn past results.Prediction
Taking into account the current form, home advantage, and the battle at the bottom, the prediction leans towards Nantes either winning or securing a draw. The statistical analysis gives Nantes a 45% chance of victory and a 45% chance of a draw, leaving Metz with a slim 10% chance of taking all three points. The double chance of a Nantes win or draw seems to be the smart bet, with the team's form at home and key players like Samuel Alain Moutoussamy and Jean-Charles Victor Castelletto expected to play pivotal roles.The goals market is also intriguing, with predictions suggesting fewer than 2.5 goals for Nantes and 1.5 for Metz. This could point towards a tight, low-scoring affair, with both teams wary of conceding in such a crucial match.
In conclusion, the upcoming fixture between Nantes and Metz is set to be a tense affair with much at stake. While Nantes appears to have the upper hand, especially with the support of their home crowd, Metz's desperation to climb out of the relegation zone should not be underestimated. Nonetheless, the prediction stands: a double chance for Nantes to win or draw seems to be the most likely outcome for this Ligue 1 encounter.
Prediction probabilities
Strength
88%
13%
Attacking Potential
50%
50%
Defensive Potential
69%
31%
Poisson Distribution
59%
41%
Stregth H2H
38%
62%
Goals H2H
40%
60%
Wins the game
57%
43%
Ligue 1 standings
| Rank | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
| 2 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 53 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 |
Nice
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
| 6 |
Lens
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 |
Reims
|
28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 40 |
| 8 |
Marseille
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 |
Rennes
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 39 |
| 10 |
Lyon
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 13 |
Montpellier
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 |
LE Havre
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 |
Lorient
|
28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
| 17 |
Metz
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 |
Clermont Foot
|
28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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