Nantes - Paris Saint Germain

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

78'		0 - 2	Penalty	K. Mbappé
60'		0 - 1	Goal	L. Hernández	Marquinhos (Assist)

78'		M. Sissoko	Unsportsmanlike conduct
77'		M. Sissoko	Unsportsmanlike conduct

79'			In:	M. Coco	Out:	M. Abline
79'			In:	M. Sissoko	Out:	S. Moutoussamy
74'			In:	Mostafa Mohamed	Out:	M. Simon
70'			In:	Marquinhos	Out:	Beraldo
62'			In:	Marco Asensio	Out:	K. Mbappé
62'			In:	R. Kolo Muani	Out:	A. Hakimi
62'			In:	T. Kadewere	Out:	B. Traoré
61'			In:	Lee Kang-In	Out:	O. Dembélé
46'			In:	B. Barcola	Out:	Gonçalo Ramos

Nantes - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Prediction: Paris Saint Germain

Best odds: 1.61

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As the Ligue 1 season heats up, all eyes turn to the upcoming clash at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, where home side Nantes will face off against the league leaders Paris Saint Germain. With predictions leaning heavily towards an away win, the question on everyone's mind is whether Nantes can defy the odds or if PSG will solidify their top spot even further.

Key Players - Nantes

Nantes, currently sitting at an uneasy 13th in the league, will rely heavily on their midfield dynamo Samuel Alain Moutoussamy. With an average rating of 6.74 and a total of 281 passes this season, his ability to control the game's tempo will be vital. Alongside him, Marcus Regis Coco, rated at 6.75, brings an attacking threat, despite having only found the net once this season. In defense, Jean-Charles Victor Castelletto stands out with a rating of 6.77, and his contribution at the back will be critical to Nantes' chances of containing PSG's potent attack.

Key Players - Paris Saint Germain

At the summit of the table, PSG boasts an array of stars, including Carlos Soler Barragán, whose midfield prowess, with a rating of 6.83 and two assists to his name, will be key in orchestrating plays. Fabián Ruiz Peña, with a higher rating of 7.03, has also been instrumental in the midfield, contributing both goals and assists. However, the spotlight will undoubtedly be on Randal Kolo Muani, the attacker with a formidable rating of 7.05 and a team-high of 5 goals. His lethal finishing and playmaking abilities will pose a significant threat to the Nantes defense.

Recent Form

Nantes' recent form has been a cause for concern, with a string of losses and a solitary draw in their last five matches, indicating a struggle to find consistent performance. In stark contrast, PSG has been in fine form, with a series of wins and draws, showcasing their title-contending credentials.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record further tilts the balance in PSG's favor. The last three encounters have all ended in victory for the Parisians, including a 2-1 win on December 9, 2023, and a more dominant 4-2 victory on March 4, 2023. Nantes last faced PSG at home on September 3, 2022, and were defeated 3-0, a result they'll be eager to avenge in front of their own fans.

Prediction

While the heart may root for an underdog story, the statistics paint a clear picture. With PSG's 92% form away from home compared to Nantes' 8% form at home, and considering the calculated 78.2% total percent away win probability, it's hard to see past a victory for the visitors. The prediction suggests a strong likelihood of PSG coming out on top, with a possible margin considering the -3.5 goals away prediction. Nantes will have to put up a formidable fight to prove the numbers wrong.

In conclusion, while football is known for its unpredictability, the data suggests that Paris Saint Germain will leave Nantes with all three points, further cementing their position at the top of Ligue 1. Nantes' key players may shine, but they will need to exceed expectations to disrupt PSG's march towards another league title.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

24%

76%

Attacking Potential

20%

80%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

19%

81%

Stregth H2H

20%

80%

Goals H2H

30%

70%

Wins the game

27%

73%

Nantes - Paris Saint Germain Head to Head

17/02	Nantes	0 - 2	Paris Saint Germain
09/12	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 1	Nantes
04/03	Paris Saint Germain	4 - 2	Nantes
03/09	Nantes	0 - 3	Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21