Paris Saint Germain - Lille

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

80'		3 - 1	Goal	R. Kolo Muani	B. Barcola (Assist)
17'		2 - 1	Own Goal	Alexsandro Ribeiro
10'		1 - 1	Goal	Gonçalo Ramos	O. Dembélé (Assist)
6'		0 - 1	Goal	Y. Yazıcı

74'		N. Mukiele	Tripping
52'		Alexsandro Ribeiro	Roughing
40'
35'		M. Ugarte	Roughing
32'		Ismaily	Foul
16'		B. André	Foul

81'			In:	Y. Yazıcı	Out:	H. Haraldsson
74'			In:	Gonçalo Ramos	Out:	W. Zaïre-Emery
71'			In:	L. Hernández	Out:	A. Hakimi
67'			In:	G. Gudmundsson	Out:	R. Cabella
67'			In:	B. André	Out:	J. David
67'			In:	E. Zhegrova	Out:	A. Ounas
63'			In:	Fabián Ruiz	Out:	Vitinha
62'			In:	O. Dembélé	Out:	B. Barcola
62'			In:	Fabián Ruiz	Out:	Vitinha

Paris Saint Germain - Lille Predictions

Prediction: Paris Saint Germain or draw

Best odds: 1.14

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As the anticipation builds for the upcoming Ligue 1 clash at the Parc des Princes, the predictions point towards a thrilling encounter with a favorable tilt towards the home side, Paris Saint Germain. Will the Parisians continue their dominance, or will Lille defy the odds and stage an upset? Let's delve into the key players and stats that could shape this encounter before locking in a detailed prediction.

Key Players - Paris Saint Germain

At the heart of PSG's midfield, Carlos Soler Barragán has been instrumental with his precise passing and vision, boasting 300 total passes and 6 key passes. His contribution has been critical, with 2 assists and a goal to his name. Equally important to the team's attacking prowess is Randal Kolo Muani, whose rating of 7.04 reflects his impact upfront. With 5 total goals, 7 shots on target, and 9 shots in total, Muani's clinical finishing will be a significant threat.

Not to be overlooked, Fabián Ruiz Peña has been a consistent performer in the midfield, contributing 1 goal, 2 assists, and maintaining a rating of 7.10. His ability to break up play and initiate attacks has seen him complete 424 passes, making him a vital cog in PSG's machinery.

Key Players - Lille

Lille's forward, Ivan Ricardo Neves Abreu Cavaleiro, brings a rating of 6.79 to the table, having taken 6 shots with 3 on target and scoring 1 goal. His agility and pace could pose a challenge to PSG's backline. In the midfield, Adam Mohamed Ounas, with a rating of 6.85, has shown his capability with 3 shots on target and a goal, although he'll need to be at his best to penetrate PSG's defense.

Another key midfielder, Yusuf Yazıcı, has a commendable rating of 6.92, backed by 3 goals from 15 shots and 1 assist. His vision and passing, including 276 total passes and 14 key passes, could be crucial in unlocking PSG's defensive setup.

Recent Form

PSG's recent form reads like a champion's tale, with a sequence of WDWWW in their last five games. They sit comfortably at the top of the league with 40 points and a superior goal difference of +28. Lille, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results with WLDDW, placing them 5th with 31 points and a goal difference of +10. The Parisians' home record is formidable, with 7 wins out of 9 games, while Lille's away form shows room for improvement, with just 2 wins from 9 outings.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two sides points to PSG's dominance. Their last three encounters ended in a 1-1 draw on December 17, 2023, a narrow 4-3 victory for PSG on February 19, 2023, and a resounding 7-1 win for PSG on August 21, 2022. This historical edge, combined with current form, suggests that Lille will need to produce something special to turn the tide.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and key player performances, the prediction leans heavily towards a Paris Saint Germain victory or at the very least, a draw. The predictions also suggest a possibility of a lower-scoring affair, with PSG's goals at -2.5 and Lille's at -1.5, indicating a tighter game than the goal lines might typically suggest.

The statistical breakdown gives PSG a 45% chance of winning, mirroring the draw probability, while Lille's chances of an away win are slim at 10%. The total percentage points towards a 67.2% likelihood of a PSG outcome versus Lille's 33%. The advice leans towards a "Double chance: Paris Saint Germain or draw," making it a safer bet given PSG's robust form and Lille's struggles on the road.

In conclusion, while football is a game of uncertainties, the data and analysis point towards a scenario where Paris Saint Germain either secures a win or holds Lille to a draw, with the Parisians' attacking flair and solid midfield being the critical factors in this anticipated Ligue 1 showdown.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

58%

42%

Attacking Potential

53%

47%

Defensive Potential

38%

63%

Poisson Distribution

67%

33%

Stregth H2H

93%

7%

Goals H2H

73%

27%

Wins the game

64%

37%

Paris Saint Germain - Lille Head to Head

10/02	Paris Saint Germain	3 - 1	Lille
17/12	Lille	1 - 1	Paris Saint Germain
19/02	Paris Saint Germain	4 - 3	Lille
21/08	Lille	1 - 7	Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21