Paris Saint Germain - Metz

Regular Season - 17
Kickoff: 2023-12-20 19:00

Who will win?

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Paris Saint Germain - Metz Predictions

Prediction: Paris Saint Germain
Best odds: 1.17

In the heart of Paris, an intriguing Ligue 1 clash is set to unfold as the dominant Paris Saint Germain prepare to lock horns with the resilient Metz. As the predictions lean heavily in favor of the home side, the stage is set at Parc des Princes for a match that could either solidify PSG's top spot or witness an unexpected twist in the tale.

Key Players - Paris Saint Germain

The hosts boast a formidable lineup, with Carlos Soler Barragán orchestrating the midfield. With a rating of 6.91, his tactical prowess and vision are pivotal to PSG's fluid gameplay. Soler has not only provided 2 assists but also maintains an impressive passes total of 211, highlighting his influential role in the team's build-up play.

Upfront, Randal Kolo Muani has been a revelation with a rating of 7.09. His ability to find the back of the net, as evidenced by his 3 goals, coupled with his sharpness in front of goal with 5 shots on target, makes him a constant threat that Metz's defense will need to neutralize.

Another key figure in the attack is Gonçalo Matias Ramos, who has a rating of 7.10. Ramos's scoring ability, with 2 goals to his name, and his knack for creating chances with 6 key passes, add another layer of danger to PSG's offensive arsenal.

Key Players - Metz

The visitors have their own set of aces, with Simon Elisor leading the line. Elisor, although he has a modest rating of 6.68, has managed to put 6 shots on target and has scored once, hinting at his potential to surprise PSG's defense.

Supporting him in attack is Joel Joshoghene Asoro, who carries a rating of 6.71. Asoro has been directly involved in 3 goals, scoring twice and providing an assist, making him a player to watch for the Metz side.

At the back, Ismaël Abdul Rahman Roch Traoré stands as the defensive bulwark with a rating of 6.80. His solid defensive contributions, along with his ability to venture forward, as shown by his goal, are crucial for Metz to maintain a stable backline against PSG's relentless attacks.

Recent Form

Paris Saint Germain's recent form is nothing short of spectacular, with five consecutive victories that have left them sitting comfortably at the top of the Ligue 1 table. Their goal difference of +26 is a testament to their attacking flair and defensive solidity.

Metz, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results with two losses, two draws, and a win in their last five outings. Their goal difference stands at -8, reflecting the challenges they've faced in both scoring and conceding goals.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record would have been a valuable indicator of how these teams match up, but in this instance, no recent encounters are available to draw conclusions from. Nonetheless, PSG's current form and home advantage make them the historical favorites in this fixture.

Prediction

Taking into account the current league standings, player form, and team statistics, the prediction heavily favors a Paris Saint Germain victory. With a 76.5% total percent home win probability and a staggering 93% win rate in the head-to-head home record, the odds are stacked against Metz.

The prediction also suggests that there will be a significant goal difference, with PSG expected to score over 4.5 goals and Metz under 2.5. The form of key players like Carlos Soler Barragán, Randal Kolo Muani, and Gonçalo Matias Ramos for PSG, against the likes of Simon Elisor and Joel Joshoghene Asoro for Metz, will be instrumental in the outcome.

In conclusion, while football always has room for surprises, the safe bet is on Paris Saint Germain to come out as the victors in this midweek clash, continuing their march towards another league title. The combination of their attacking prowess, the strategic mind of Soler in midfield, and the defensive stability they've shown so far, suggests that Metz will have a mountain to climb at Parc des Princes.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

68%
32%

Attacking Potential

68%
32%

Defensive Potential

64%
36%

Poisson Distribution

81%
19%

Stregth H2H

93%
7%

Goals H2H

85%
15%

Wins the game

77%
24%

Paris Saint Germain - Metz Head to Head

Ligue 1 standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain players, news and schedule Paris Saint Germain 28 18 9 1 65 24 41 63
2 Stade Brestois 29 players, news and schedule Stade Brestois 29 28 15 8 5 41 23 18 53
3 Lille players, news and schedule Lille 28 13 10 5 42 25 17 49
4 Monaco players, news and schedule Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 14 49
5 Nice players, news and schedule Nice 28 12 8 8 28 22 6 44
6 Lens players, news and schedule Lens 28 12 7 9 37 30 7 43
7 Reims players, news and schedule Reims 28 11 7 10 35 36 -1 40
8 Marseille players, news and schedule Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 8 39
9 Rennes players, news and schedule Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 7 39
10 Lyon players, news and schedule Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse players, news and schedule Toulouse 28 8 9 11 32 36 -4 33
12 Strasbourg players, news and schedule Strasbourg 28 8 9 11 30 39 -9 33
13 Montpellier players, news and schedule Montpellier 28 8 9 11 35 40 -5 32
14 LE Havre players, news and schedule LE Havre 28 6 10 12 27 36 -9 28
15 Nantes players, news and schedule Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
16 Lorient players, news and schedule Lorient 28 6 8 14 35 52 -17 26
17 Metz players, news and schedule Metz 28 6 5 17 28 48 -20 23
18 Clermont Foot players, news and schedule Clermont Foot 28 4 9 15 20 47 -27 21