Reims - Lens

Regular Season - 22
Kickoff: 2024-02-18 15:05

Who will win?

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Reims - Lens Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Lens
Best odds: 1.55

As the French Ligue 1 continues to unfold, a gripping encounter awaits us this Sunday at the Stade Auguste-Delaune. The match will pit the ambition of sixth-placed Reims against the determination of eighth-placed Lens, with both sides closely matched in the league standings. The predictions hint at a slight edge for Lens, suggesting a "win or draw" outcome, but with both teams showing fluctuating form, this clash could swing in any direction.

Key Players

For Reims, the spotlight falls on midfielder Oumar Diakité, whose performances have been crucial for the team's midfield stability. With a rating of 6.66, Diakité's ability to take shots and create opportunities will be essential. Defensively, Joshua Darius Kamani Wilson-Esbrand has been a reliable presence with a rating of 6.72, contributing to the team's solidity at the back. On the attacking front, Keito Nakamura holds the key, with a goal and an assist to his name.

Lens counters with their own set of influential players. Midfielder Adrien Thomasson stands out with a rating of 6.81, and his vision in the midfield will be pivotal for creating scoring opportunities. In defense, Deiver Andrés Machado Mena has not only been solid at the back but also contributed three goals, an impressive tally for a defender. Up front, Morgan Bono Guilavogui, with a rating of 6.85, will be the one to watch as he seeks to add to his goal tally.

Recent Form

Reims have had a mixed bag of results with their last five games reading "DWWLL," indicating a team that has the potential to shine but also the vulnerability to slip. With 30 points from 19 games and a goal difference of just +1, they are in a tight spot to maintain their position for European qualification.

Lens, just a point behind Reims, have had a similarly inconsistent run with "WLLWD" in their last five outings. Their slightly better goal difference of +4 and an accumulated 29 points from 19 matches show that they are in hot pursuit of climbing up the ranks.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the recent head-to-head match-ups, Lens appears to have the upper hand. They secured a 2-0 victory against Reims on December 16, 2023, and a 2-1 win on May 12, 2023. The only draw between the two teams came on September 4, 2022, ending 1-1. This historical edge could play a psychological role in the upcoming fixture.

Prediction

The predictions lean towards Lens, with a "Double chance: draw or Lens" advised. The percentages also favor the away side, with a 45% chance for both a draw and an away win, compared to Reims' 10% chance of securing a victory. The form, attack, and defense ratings all point towards a stronger performance from Lens, with a 56% form rating against Reims' 44%, and a defensive rating of 60% to Reims' 40%.

Considering the predictions, key player performances, and historical data, the expectation is for a tightly contested affair with Lens more likely to come away with at least a point. The match could well be decided by the effectiveness of the key players on the day, with Oumar Diakité, Joshua Darius Kamani Wilson-Esbrand, and Keito Nakamura pivotal for Reims, while Adrien Thomasson, Deiver Andrés Machado Mena, and Morgan Bono Guilavogui will be crucial for Lens.

The final prediction: Lens to either win or secure a draw in a match that promises to be an intriguing battle for European qualification spots. The outcome of this encounter could be a defining moment for both teams' aspirations this season.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

44%
56%

Attacking Potential

50%
50%

Defensive Potential

45%
55%

Poisson Distribution

45%
55%

Stregth H2H

7%
93%

Goals H2H

31%
69%

Wins the game

37%
63%

Reims - Lens Head to Head

Ligue 1 standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain players, news and schedule Paris Saint Germain 28 18 9 1 65 24 41 63
2 Stade Brestois 29 players, news and schedule Stade Brestois 29 28 15 8 5 41 23 18 53
3 Lille players, news and schedule Lille 28 13 10 5 42 25 17 49
4 Monaco players, news and schedule Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 14 49
5 Nice players, news and schedule Nice 28 12 8 8 28 22 6 44
6 Lens players, news and schedule Lens 28 12 7 9 37 30 7 43
7 Reims players, news and schedule Reims 28 11 7 10 35 36 -1 40
8 Marseille players, news and schedule Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 8 39
9 Rennes players, news and schedule Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 7 39
10 Lyon players, news and schedule Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse players, news and schedule Toulouse 28 8 9 11 32 36 -4 33
12 Strasbourg players, news and schedule Strasbourg 28 8 9 11 30 39 -9 33
13 Montpellier players, news and schedule Montpellier 28 8 9 11 35 40 -5 32
14 LE Havre players, news and schedule LE Havre 28 6 10 12 27 36 -9 28
15 Nantes players, news and schedule Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
16 Lorient players, news and schedule Lorient 28 6 8 14 35 52 -17 26
17 Metz players, news and schedule Metz 28 6 5 17 28 48 -20 23
18 Clermont Foot players, news and schedule Clermont Foot 28 4 9 15 20 47 -27 21