Stade Brestois 29 - Marseille

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89'

1 - 0

Goal

P. Lees-Melou

60'		S. Mounié	Elbowing
50'		L. Balerdi	Roughing
35'		B. Chardonnet	Unsportsmanlike conduct
12'		K. Lala

90'			In:	J. Onana	Out:	J. Correa
81'			In:	H. Magnetti	Out:	J. Le Cardinal
76'			In:	A. Harit	Out:	Luis Henrique
76'			In:	A. Ounahi	Out:	G. Kondogbia
73'			In:	Mathias Pereira Lage	Out:	J. Le Douaron
66'			In:	R. Del Castillo	Out:	M. Satriano
66'			In:	K. Doumbia	Out:	J. Martin
61'			In:	I. Sarr	Out:	P. Aubameyang

Stade Brestois 29 - Marseille Predictions

Prediction: Stade Brestois 29 or draw

Best odds: 2.59

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As the Ligue 1 season continues to unfold, a captivating fixture is on the horizon with Stade Brestois 29 set to host Marseille at the Stade Francis-Le Blé. The predictions are in, and they favor a victory for the home side, but with football's unpredictable nature, anything could happen on the pitch.

Key Players For Stade Brestois 29, the midfield creativity comes from Mathias Pereira Lage, whose vision and ability to find the back of the net have been vital. With a rating of 6.62 and contributing 2 goals, his influence in the middle of the park cannot be understated.

Leading the attack, Jérémy Le Douaron has been a significant threat with a rating of 6.72. His 16 shots on target from 30 attempts underline his status as a forward who can create opportunities out of half-chances.

Not to be overlooked, Steve Michel Mounié has been just as influential up front, with a rating of 6.88. His 3 goals and 2 assists showcase his all-around ability to affect the game's outcome.

Marseille's resilience often starts from the back, with defender Michael Amir Murillo Bermúdez contributing both defensively and offensively. With a rating of 6.66 and a goal to his name, he's a player that Brestois must be wary of.

In midfield, Azzedine Ounahi has been the heartbeat for Marseille. With a rating of 6.78, his ability to control the tempo and create chances with a total of 5 key passes has been crucial.

Upfront, Iliman Cheikh Baroy Ndiaye has shown glimpses of brilliance with a rating of 6.85. His 2 assists and a goal are just a part of his contributions to the team's attacking dynamics.

Recent Form

Stade Brestois 29 has been in impressive form with a run of "DWWWW" in their last five games, showcasing both resilience and winning mentality. With a total of 35 points, they sit comfortably at 3rd in the league, eyeing a Champions League spot.

Marseille, on the other hand, has had a mix of results with "DDDWW" in their recent outings. Currently sitting at 7th with 29 points, they are still within touching distance of the European spots and will be eager to climb the table.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a mixed bag of results. The last meeting between the two on August 26, 2023, saw Marseille secure a 2-0 victory at home. However, just three months prior, Brestois managed to snatch a 2-1 win, also away from home. Their encounter on August 14, 2022, ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a closely matched history.

Prediction

Considering the current form, home advantage, and the potency of key players like Mathias Pereira Lage, Jérémy Le Douaron, and Steve Michel Mounié, Stade Brestois 29 is expected to have the upper hand in this encounter. However, Marseille's resilience, led by players like Michael Amir Murillo Bermúdez, Azzedine Ounahi, and Iliman Cheikh Baroy Ndiaye, cannot be underestimated.

The predictions suggest a 45% chance of a home win, with a similar percentage for a draw and only a 10% chance for an away victory. The form guide also leans towards Brestois, with a form home rating of 65 against Marseille's form away at 35.

In conclusion, while the match could go either way, the detailed prediction points towards a victory for Stade Brestois 29. Their recent form, combined with their home record and the balance in their squad, gives them the edge in what promises to be an enthralling match-up in the heart of Ligue 1.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

69%

31%

Attacking Potential

64%

36%

Defensive Potential

67%

33%

Poisson Distribution

74%

26%

Stregth H2H

50%

50%

Goals H2H

40%

60%

Wins the game

61%

39%

Stade Brestois 29 - Marseille Head to Head

18/02	Stade Brestois 29	1 - 0	Marseille
26/08	Marseille	2 - 0	Stade Brestois 29
27/05	Marseille	1 - 2	Stade Brestois 29
14/08	Stade Brestois 29	1 - 1	Marseille

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21