Stade Brestois 29 - Metz

Regular Season - 28
Kickoff: 2024-04-06 15:00

Who will win?

0%
0%
0%

Votes: 0

Stade Brestois 29 - Metz Predictions

Prediction: Stade Brestois 29 or draw
Best odds: 1.14

In a highly anticipated Ligue 1 clash at the Stade Francis-Le Blé, home side Stade Brestois 29 look to solidify their Champions League aspirations against a struggling Metz, who are fighting to escape the relegation zone. With predictions favoring the hosts, let's delve into the specifics that could decide the outcome of this pivotal match.

Key Players - Stade Brestois 29

For Stade Brestois 29, the midfield creativity and attacking prowess come from Mathias Pereira Lage. With an impressive rating of 6.71, his contribution is not just in goals, where he has netted three times, but also in his overall play, having attempted 17 shots and delivering 170 passes. His teammate, Jérémy Le Douaron, has been a significant threat upfront, with a rating of 6.74, 19 shots on target, and four goals to his name. Not to be overlooked is striker Steve Michel Mounié, whose 6.90 rating and three goals from 12 shots on target make him a key figure in Brest's attacking line-up.

Key Players - Metz

On the other side, Metz will rely on the likes of Joel Joshoghene Asoro, an attacker who has managed to find the net twice and has a rating of 6.66. Simon Elisor, with a rating of 6.69, has also been pivotal in Metz's forward movements, contributing one goal and ten key passes. In defense, Kévin Daniel Guitoun Van Den Kerkhof stands out with a 6.70 rating, two assists, and a goal, highlighting his dual role in the team's dynamics.

Recent Form

Stade Brestois 29 has been in fine form, as indicated by their last five games record of WDDDW, which has propelled them to second place in the league standings. Their home record is particularly strong, with only one loss in 11 games. Metz, in stark contrast, is languishing in 17th place with a worrying form of LLDLL, signaling a team in dire need of points.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a glimpse into the competitive nature of this fixture. In their last encounter on December 10, 2023, Stade Brestois 29 edged out Metz with a narrow 1-0 victory. This historical data, albeit limited, suggests a tight contest but leans towards the home side.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and key player performances, the prediction leans heavily in favor of Stade Brestois 29. With a 45% chance for a home win and another 45% for a draw, the likelihood of Metz pulling off an upset seems slim at just 10%. The statistical analysis, including a formidable 63 form home rating against Metz's 38, and Brest's superior defensive rating of 78 compared to Metz's 22, further cements the home side as favorites.

The advice for this match is a "Double chance: Stade Brestois 29 or draw," with the home side's attacking statistics indicating that they are likely to score under 2.5 goals, whereas Metz might struggle to surpass 1.5 goals. The total percentage home stands at a confident 65%, with Metz trailing at 35.2%.

In summary, expect Stade Brestois 29 to dominate proceedings and either secure all three points or at the very least, hold Metz to a draw. The key players like Mathias Pereira Lage, Jérémy Le Douaron, and Steve Michel Mounié will likely be instrumental in determining the final scoreline. This match could very well solidify Brest's position in the top tier of French football, while Metz must dig deep to avoid slipping further into the relegation mire.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

63%
38%

Attacking Potential

46%
54%

Defensive Potential

82%
18%

Poisson Distribution

80%
20%

Stregth H2H

60%
40%

Goals H2H

54%
46%

Wins the game

64%
36%

Stade Brestois 29 - Metz Head to Head

Ligue 1 standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain players, news and schedule Paris Saint Germain 28 18 9 1 65 24 41 63
2 Stade Brestois 29 players, news and schedule Stade Brestois 29 28 15 8 5 41 23 18 53
3 Lille players, news and schedule Lille 28 13 10 5 42 25 17 49
4 Monaco players, news and schedule Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 14 49
5 Nice players, news and schedule Nice 28 12 8 8 28 22 6 44
6 Lens players, news and schedule Lens 28 12 7 9 37 30 7 43
7 Reims players, news and schedule Reims 28 11 7 10 35 36 -1 40
8 Marseille players, news and schedule Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 8 39
9 Rennes players, news and schedule Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 7 39
10 Lyon players, news and schedule Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse players, news and schedule Toulouse 28 8 9 11 32 36 -4 33
12 Strasbourg players, news and schedule Strasbourg 28 8 9 11 30 39 -9 33
13 Montpellier players, news and schedule Montpellier 28 8 9 11 35 40 -5 32
14 LE Havre players, news and schedule LE Havre 28 6 10 12 27 36 -9 28
15 Nantes players, news and schedule Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
16 Lorient players, news and schedule Lorient 28 6 8 14 35 52 -17 26
17 Metz players, news and schedule Metz 28 6 5 17 28 48 -20 23
18 Clermont Foot players, news and schedule Clermont Foot 28 4 9 15 20 47 -27 21