Stade Brestois 29 - Metz

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions

80'		4 - 3	Goal	G. Mikautadze
74'		4 - 2	Goal	G. Mikautadze	A. Atta (Assist)
60'		4 - 1	Goal	M. Satriano	R. Del Castillo (Assist)
38'		3 - 1	Goal	S. Mounié	M. Satriano (Assist)
31'		2 - 1	Goal	K. Doumbia	R. Del Castillo (Assist)
12'		1 - 1	Goal	B. Chardonnet
6'		0 - 1	Goal	I. Traoré	L. Camara (Assist)

62'

M. Udol

Foul

88'			In:	R. Del Castillo	Out:	J. Le Cardinal
80'			In:	D. Jean Jacques	Out:	K. N'Doram
79'			In:	D. Jean Jacques	Out:	K. N'Doram
75'			In:	A. Atta	Out:	C. Sabaly
75'			In:	A. Atta	Out:	K. N'Doram
75'			In:	S. Mounié	Out:	Mathias Pereira Lage
69'			In:	M. Satriano	Out:	J. Le Douaron
69'			In:	K. Doumbia	Out:	M. Camara
69'			In:	J. Martin	Out:	H. Magnetti
64'			In:	A. Jallow	Out:	K. Van Den Kerkhof
46'			In:	D. Lamkel Zé	Out:	P. Diallo

Stade Brestois 29 - Metz Predictions

Prediction: Stade Brestois 29 or draw

Best odds: 1.14

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In a highly anticipated Ligue 1 clash at the Stade Francis-Le Blé, home side Stade Brestois 29 look to solidify their Champions League aspirations against a struggling Metz, who are fighting to escape the relegation zone. With predictions favoring the hosts, let's delve into the specifics that could decide the outcome of this pivotal match.

Key Players - Stade Brestois 29

For Stade Brestois 29, the midfield creativity and attacking prowess come from Mathias Pereira Lage. With an impressive rating of 6.71, his contribution is not just in goals, where he has netted three times, but also in his overall play, having attempted 17 shots and delivering 170 passes. His teammate, Jérémy Le Douaron, has been a significant threat upfront, with a rating of 6.74, 19 shots on target, and four goals to his name. Not to be overlooked is striker Steve Michel Mounié, whose 6.90 rating and three goals from 12 shots on target make him a key figure in Brest's attacking line-up.

Key Players - Metz

On the other side, Metz will rely on the likes of Joel Joshoghene Asoro, an attacker who has managed to find the net twice and has a rating of 6.66. Simon Elisor, with a rating of 6.69, has also been pivotal in Metz's forward movements, contributing one goal and ten key passes. In defense, Kévin Daniel Guitoun Van Den Kerkhof stands out with a 6.70 rating, two assists, and a goal, highlighting his dual role in the team's dynamics.

Recent Form

Stade Brestois 29 has been in fine form, as indicated by their last five games record of WDDDW, which has propelled them to second place in the league standings. Their home record is particularly strong, with only one loss in 11 games. Metz, in stark contrast, is languishing in 17th place with a worrying form of LLDLL, signaling a team in dire need of points.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record provides a glimpse into the competitive nature of this fixture. In their last encounter on December 10, 2023, Stade Brestois 29 edged out Metz with a narrow 1-0 victory. This historical data, albeit limited, suggests a tight contest but leans towards the home side.

Prediction

Taking into account the recent form, head-to-head history, and key player performances, the prediction leans heavily in favor of Stade Brestois 29. With a 45% chance for a home win and another 45% for a draw, the likelihood of Metz pulling off an upset seems slim at just 10%. The statistical analysis, including a formidable 63 form home rating against Metz's 38, and Brest's superior defensive rating of 78 compared to Metz's 22, further cements the home side as favorites.

The advice for this match is a "Double chance: Stade Brestois 29 or draw," with the home side's attacking statistics indicating that they are likely to score under 2.5 goals, whereas Metz might struggle to surpass 1.5 goals. The total percentage home stands at a confident 65%, with Metz trailing at 35.2%.

In summary, expect Stade Brestois 29 to dominate proceedings and either secure all three points or at the very least, hold Metz to a draw. The key players like Mathias Pereira Lage, Jérémy Le Douaron, and Steve Michel Mounié will likely be instrumental in determining the final scoreline. This match could very well solidify Brest's position in the top tier of French football, while Metz must dig deep to avoid slipping further into the relegation mire.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

63%

38%

Attacking Potential

46%

54%

Defensive Potential

82%

18%

Poisson Distribution

80%

20%

Stregth H2H

60%

40%

Goals H2H

54%

46%

Wins the game

64%

36%

Stade Brestois 29 - Metz Head to Head

06/04	Stade Brestois 29	4 - 3	Metz
10/12	Metz	0 - 1	Stade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21