Toulouse - Lyon

Regular Season - 26
Kickoff: 2024-03-16 23:00

Who will win?

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Toulouse - Lyon Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Lyon
Best odds: 1.50

As the Ligue 1 season continues to unfold, the anticipation for the upcoming clash between Toulouse and Lyon is palpable. With both teams locked in the middle of the table and eager to climb, the match at Stadium de Toulouse promises to be a pivotal moment in their respective campaigns. While predictions remain tantalizingly uncertain, the focus shifts to the key players whose performances could tip the scales in this evenly poised encounter.

Key Players - Toulouse

Toulouse's resilience at home will be tested, and they will look towards their defensive stalwart, Christian Mawissa Elebi, to fortify their backline. With a rating of 6.64 and a total of 288 passes, his presence is a reassuring factor for the home side. In the midfield, Shavy Warren Babicka, with a rating of 6.73, brings dynamism and an eye for key passes that could unlock Lyon's defense. The midfield maestro has already contributed to Toulouse's cause with 2 key passes and a goal to his name. Another pivotal figure is Vincent Olivier Sierro, whose 6.77 rating and 704 passes reflect his central role in orchestrating play and his contribution of 2 goals and an assist cannot be overlooked.

Key Players - Lyon

Lyon, on the other hand, will rely on the creativity and drive of Skelly Alvero, a midfielder with a knack for taking shots on target, 3 out of 7 attempts, and maintaining a solid 6.64 rating. In the attacking third, Jefferson Ruan Pereira dos Santos, known for his agility and finishing, has already made his mark with a goal and an assist, and his 6.69 rating is indicative of his potential impact on the game. The defensive responsibilities will largely fall on the shoulders of Henrique Silva Milagres, a defender whose rating of 6.78 and 3 shots on target from a defensive position underscore his ability to contribute at both ends of the pitch.

Recent Form

Toulouse's recent form has been a mixed bag with a sequence of "WLWLW" in their last five games. Their home form has been less than stellar, with only one win out of ten games played at their fortress. Lyon, meanwhile, has been on a slightly better trajectory with a "WWWWL" streak, showcasing a capacity for stringing together consecutive victories.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between the two sides adds an extra layer of intrigue to the match. Their last encounter on December 10, 2023, saw Lyon emerge as dominant 3-0 victors. However, the previous meetings have been closely contested, with a 2-1 win for Lyon on April 14, 2023, and a 1-1 draw on October 7, 2022. This historical context sets the stage for what could be another tight contest.

Prediction

As both teams gear up for this crucial match, the absence of clear predictions only adds to the suspense. However, considering the home advantage for Toulouse and the better recent form of Lyon, a draw seems like a plausible outcome. The key battle will likely be in the midfield, where Babicka and Alvero could cancel each other out. The defensive qualities of Elebi and Milagres might also prove decisive in keeping the scoreline in check.

Given the importance of the match for both teams' league aspirations and the balance in their recent performances, a score draw could be the most likely result. Fans should expect a tactical battle with moments of individual brilliance that could swing the game either way. But ultimately, the shared spoils might be the outcome that reflects the evenly matched nature of Toulouse and Lyon at this stage of the season.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

43%
57%

Attacking Potential

53%
47%

Defensive Potential

45%
55%

Poisson Distribution

53%
47%

Stregth H2H

7%
93%

Goals H2H

19%
81%

Wins the game

37%
63%

Toulouse - Lyon Head to Head

Ligue 1 standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain players, news and schedule Paris Saint Germain 28 18 9 1 65 24 41 63
2 Stade Brestois 29 players, news and schedule Stade Brestois 29 28 15 8 5 41 23 18 53
3 Lille players, news and schedule Lille 28 13 10 5 42 25 17 49
4 Monaco players, news and schedule Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 14 49
5 Nice players, news and schedule Nice 28 12 8 8 28 22 6 44
6 Lens players, news and schedule Lens 28 12 7 9 37 30 7 43
7 Reims players, news and schedule Reims 28 11 7 10 35 36 -1 40
8 Marseille players, news and schedule Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 8 39
9 Rennes players, news and schedule Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 7 39
10 Lyon players, news and schedule Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse players, news and schedule Toulouse 28 8 9 11 32 36 -4 33
12 Strasbourg players, news and schedule Strasbourg 28 8 9 11 30 39 -9 33
13 Montpellier players, news and schedule Montpellier 28 8 9 11 35 40 -5 32
14 LE Havre players, news and schedule LE Havre 28 6 10 12 27 36 -9 28
15 Nantes players, news and schedule Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
16 Lorient players, news and schedule Lorient 28 6 8 14 35 52 -17 26
17 Metz players, news and schedule Metz 28 6 5 17 28 48 -20 23
18 Clermont Foot players, news and schedule Clermont Foot 28 4 9 15 20 47 -27 21