Toulouse - Nice

Regular Season - 24
Kickoff: 2024-03-03 11:00

Who will win?

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Votes: 0

Toulouse - Nice Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Nice
Best odds: 1.78

As the Ligue 1 campaign progresses, the upcoming clash between Toulouse and Nice promises to be a captivating encounter. The predictions point towards an unexpected outcome, with Toulouse, currently sitting at the 13th position, tipped to either win or secure a draw against second-placed Nice. The stakes are high, and the spotlight is on the key players who could tip the scales in this unpredictable match-up.

Key Players - Toulouse

Toulouse will be relying on the defensive solidity of Christian Mawissa Elebi, whose average rating of 6.72 reflects his consistent performances at the back. In midfield, the creativity and energy of Shavy Warren Babicka will be crucial. With an average rating of 6.75, Babicka's ability to drive forward and contribute in both defense and attack can provide Toulouse with the dynamism they need. Upfront, Zakaria Aboukhlal stands out as Toulouse's attacking spearhead. With an impressive 6 shots on target from 7 attempts and a total of 3 goals, his rating of 6.78 makes him the one to watch in the final third.

Key Players - Nice

For Nice, the attacking prowess of Evann Ludovic Vidjannagni Guessand will be vital. Guessand, with a rating of 6.68, has managed to get 12 shots on target from 23 attempts, showcasing his threat in front of goal. In midfield, Tom Alexis Louchet will be expected to pull the strings. Despite a modest rating of 6.74, his contribution in terms of passing and the ability to make key plays can't be underestimated. Another important figure for Nice is Hicham Boudaoui, whose midfield tenacity and rating of 6.77 will be instrumental in breaking up Toulouse's play and initiating attacks.

Recent Form

Toulouse's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in "WLWLW." Despite their inconsistent results, they have shown they can pull off a win when least expected. Nice, on the other hand, has had a slightly rocky patch with "LLDWL" in their last five outings. Although they sit comfortably in second place, their recent performances suggest vulnerability that Toulouse could exploit.

Head-to-Head History

Looking at the head-to-head record, the last three encounters have been tight affairs. The most recent match on November 26, 2023, saw Nice edge out a 1-0 victory over Toulouse. Prior to that, the teams played out to a goalless draw on May 21, 2023, and shared the spoils with a 1-1 draw on August 7, 2022. This history indicates that there is little to separate the two sides, with Nice having a slight edge.

Prediction

The prediction for this match suggests that Toulouse could upset the odds. With a "Double chance: Toulouse or draw" advice, it's clear that Toulouse's home advantage and the individual quality of players like Christian Mawissa Elebi, Shavy Warren Babicka, and Zakaria Aboukhlal could make the difference. Nice, despite being the higher-ranked team and having talents such as Evann Ludovic Vidjannagni Guessand, Tom Alexis Louchet, and Hicham Boudaoui, will need to be wary of the threat posed by their opponents.

Considering the recent form and the close head-to-head record, the match is poised to be a closely contested affair. However, the prediction leans towards Toulouse securing at least a point in this encounter, with the possibility of a win not being ruled out. The percentages in favor of Toulouse's victory or a draw stand at 35% each, against Nice's 30%, reflecting a slight tilt towards the home side.

In conclusion, this Ligue 1 fixture is set to be an intriguing battle, with Toulouse expected to harness their form and key player performances to challenge Nice's higher league standing. The final prediction, bolstered by statistical analysis and recent performances, is a bold one: Toulouse to win or draw against Nice in what could be one of the season's more surprising outcomes.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

64%
36%

Attacking Potential

75%
25%

Defensive Potential

33%
67%

Poisson Distribution

49%
51%

Stregth H2H

15%
85%

Goals H2H

13%
88%

Wins the game

42%
59%

Toulouse - Nice Head to Head

Ligue 1 standings

Rank Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain players, news and schedule Paris Saint Germain 28 18 9 1 65 24 41 63
2 Stade Brestois 29 players, news and schedule Stade Brestois 29 28 15 8 5 41 23 18 53
3 Lille players, news and schedule Lille 28 13 10 5 42 25 17 49
4 Monaco players, news and schedule Monaco 27 14 7 6 52 38 14 49
5 Nice players, news and schedule Nice 28 12 8 8 28 22 6 44
6 Lens players, news and schedule Lens 28 12 7 9 37 30 7 43
7 Reims players, news and schedule Reims 28 11 7 10 35 36 -1 40
8 Marseille players, news and schedule Marseille 28 10 9 9 41 33 8 39
9 Rennes players, news and schedule Rennes 27 10 9 8 40 33 7 39
10 Lyon players, news and schedule Lyon 27 10 5 12 31 41 -10 35
11 Toulouse players, news and schedule Toulouse 28 8 9 11 32 36 -4 33
12 Strasbourg players, news and schedule Strasbourg 28 8 9 11 30 39 -9 33
13 Montpellier players, news and schedule Montpellier 28 8 9 11 35 40 -5 32
14 LE Havre players, news and schedule LE Havre 28 6 10 12 27 36 -9 28
15 Nantes players, news and schedule Nantes 27 8 4 15 26 42 -16 28
16 Lorient players, news and schedule Lorient 28 6 8 14 35 52 -17 26
17 Metz players, news and schedule Metz 28 6 5 17 28 48 -20 23
18 Clermont Foot players, news and schedule Clermont Foot 28 4 9 15 20 47 -27 21