Toulouse - Rennes

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions
52'		Logan Costa	Tripping
45'		T. Dallinga	Roughing
11'		W. Omari	Tripping
10'		W. Omari	Tripping
7'		E. Le Fée	Tripping
6'		E. Le Fée	Tripping

82'			In:	G. Suazo	Out:	Y. Begraoui
78'			In:	L. Blas	Out:	G. Doué
78'			In:	M. Terrier	Out:	B. Yıldırım
71'			In:	César Gelabert	Out:	N. Skyttä
71'			In:	C. Cásseres	Out:	S. Spierings
57'			In:	I. Cissoko	Out:	F. Magri
57'			In:	A. Truffert	Out:	A. Nagida
57'			In:	E. Le Fée	Out:	N. Matić
56'			In:	M. Desler	Out:	C. Mawissa
29'			In:	L. Assignon	Out:	D. Doué
28'			In:	L. Assignon	Out:	D. Doué

Toulouse - Rennes Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Rennes

Best odds: 1.38

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As the Ligue 1 season unfolds, the anticipation for the upcoming clash between Toulouse and Rennes is palpable. Set in the scenic Stadium de Toulouse, this Sunday encounter is more than just a game—it's a battle for supremacy and a chance to climb the ranks. The predictions are in, hinting at a tight contest where goals may be at a premium. Will the home advantage tip the scales or will Rennes defy the odds on the road?

Key Players

On the home side, Toulouse's hopes may well hinge on the performance of their attacking duo. Frank Magri, with a rating of 6.77, has been pivotal upfront, managing 8 shots on target from 16 attempts and netting 3 goals so far. His partner in crime, Zakaria Aboukhlal, boasts a similar rating of 6.78, contributing 3 goals and showing his threat with 6 shots finding the mark. The midfield creativity rests on the shoulders of César Gelabert Piña, whose 6.97 rating reflects his ability to orchestrate play, evidenced by 6 key passes and a goal to his name.

Rennes, on the other hand, will look to their own midfield maestro, Désiré Doué, rated at 6.93, to break down Toulouse's defense. His knack for key passes could be decisive. The energetic Ludovic Régis Arsène Blas, with a rating of 6.94, will be crucial for both his defensive work and his ability to chip in with goals, having scored twice this season. Upfront, the sharpshooting Arnaud Kalimuendo-Muinga (6.99 rating) will be the one to watch, with 2 goals and a team-high 7 key passes.

Recent Form

Toulouse's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games resulting in a string of DLDLL, leaving them at 14th in the table. Rennes, just two points ahead, haven't fared much better, marked by a LWLLD sequence. Both teams are in dire need of a victory to break away from the bottom half of the standings.

Head-to-Head History

The historical contest between these two has been fairly even, but the most recent encounters tilt slightly in favor of Toulouse. In their last meeting on February 12, 2023, Toulouse emerged victorious with a 3-1 win. However, Rennes had previously secured a 2-1 home win on November 12, 2022, showcasing their ability to compete.

Prediction

The predictions suggest a cautious approach from both sides. Analysts are leaning towards a low-scoring affair, with the possibility of a draw or a narrow win for Rennes. The under/over is set at -3.5 goals, indicating that a defensive battle is expected. The advice leans towards a "Combo Double chance: draw or Rennes and -3.5 goals."

The percentages are remarkably close, with a 45% chance for both a draw and an away win. Toulouse's home form has been their saving grace, but Rennes' away performances have left much to be desired. Despite this, the form guide favors Rennes, with a 67% form rating against Toulouse's 33%, and their attacking stats are also slightly superior.

Taking into account the key players' potential impact, recent form, and head-to-head history, the final prediction is a tightly contested match with Rennes having the edge. Expect a strategic game where Rennes could either secure a win or settle for a draw, with the total goals not exceeding three. The key battle will be between Toulouse's Frank Magri and Rennes' Arnaud Kalimuendo-Muinga—whichever striker finds their form could tip the scales. The safe bet, however, would be a draw or Rennes win with fewer than 3.5 goals scored in total.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

40%

60%

Attacking Potential

43%

57%

Defensive Potential

50%

50%

Poisson Distribution

77%

23%

Stregth H2H

29%

71%

Goals H2H

44%

56%

Wins the game

47%

53%

Toulouse - Rennes Head to Head

13/04	Rennes	-	Toulouse
17/12	Toulouse	0 - 0	Rennes
12/02	Toulouse	3 - 1	Rennes
12/11	Rennes	2 - 1	Toulouse

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21