Toulouse - Strasbourg

• Goals
• Cards
• Substitutions
88'		Z. Aboukhlal	Tripping
87'		Z. Aboukhlal	Tripping
16'		T. Dallinga	Holding

84'			In:	Ibrahima Sissoko	Out:	J. Mwanga
77'			In:	M. Diarra	Out:	C. Mawissa
77'			In:	Y. Gboho	Out:	A. Dønnum
67'			In:	K. Gameiro	Out:	J. Sebas
57'			In:	F. Magri	Out:	Z. Aboukhlal
56'			In:	C. Cásseres	Out:	S. Spierings
52'			In:	M. Senaya	Out:	A. Sylla

Toulouse - Strasbourg Predictions

Prediction: Draw or Strasbourg

Best odds: 1.33

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As the Ligue 1 season unfolds, the upcoming clash between Toulouse and Strasbourg on a serene Sunday at the Stadium de Toulouse promises to be a pivotal encounter for both sides. With predictions leaning towards a favorable outcome for the hosts, we delve into the specifics that might tip the scales in this closely contested match-up.

Key Players - Toulouse

For Toulouse, the defensive linchpin Christian Mawissa Elebi stands out with an impressive rating of 6.64. His ability to hold the backline will be crucial in stopping Strasbourg's attacks. In the midfield, Shavy Warren Babicka, with a rating of 6.73, has shown his worth by contributing key passes and maintaining a steady presence in the center of the park. The team's creative force, Vincent Olivier Sierro, with a rating of 6.77, has been pivotal with his passing acumen, racking up 704 passes and 12 key passes this season, along with a goal contribution.

Key Players - Strasbourg

Strasbourg's frontline is spearheaded by Lebogang Mothiba, who has a rating of 6.70 and has bagged 3 goals so far. His sharpshooting abilities will be essential for Strasbourg to pierce through Toulouse's defense. The team's top scorer, Emanuel Esseh Emegha, with a rating of 6.73 and 7 goals to his name, will be another player to watch. Lastly, Moïse Orell Dion Sahi, also rated at 6.73, has shown his capability in front of goal and will look to add to his tally against Toulouse.

Recent Form

Toulouse's recent form has been a mixed bag with a pattern of wins and losses, but they come into this match with a win in their last game. Their home record, however, has been less than stellar with only a single win out of 10 matches. Strasbourg, on the other hand, has been struggling to find a win, with a string of losses and draws in their last five games. This suggests a lack of momentum for the visitors, which could play into Toulouse's hands.

Head-to-Head History

The head-to-head record between these two teams indicates a competitive history. In their last meeting on August 27, 2023, Strasbourg emerged victorious with a 2-0 win. However, the previous encounter in January of the same year saw Toulouse snatch a 2-1 victory. Their matchup in October 2022 ended in a 2-2 draw, showcasing the potential for a tight contest.

Prediction

Taking into account the current standings, recent form, and head-to-head statistics, the prediction leans towards a Toulouse win or draw. The home side, despite their shaky home form, has a 45% chance of winning and an equal percentage for a draw, leaving Strasbourg with a slim 10% chance of taking all three points. The key players for Toulouse, particularly Vincent Olivier Sierro's midfield dominance, could be the deciding factor. Strasbourg will rely heavily on Emanuel Esseh Emegha's goal-scoring prowess to upset the odds.

The advice for this match is a 'Double chance: Toulouse or draw', considering both the statistical analysis and the recent performances of the two squads. With Toulouse's form at 69% compared to Strasbourg's 31%, and their attacking and defensive stats marginally better, the hosts edge out as the favorites.

In conclusion, while Strasbourg's key players like Lebogang Mothiba and Moïse Orell Dion Sahi will pose a threat, Toulouse's overall team form and the presence of influential players such as Christian Mawissa Elebi and Shavy Warren Babicka might just tip the balance in their favor in what is expected to be an enthralling encounter.

Prediction probabilities

Strength

56%

44%

Attacking Potential

59%

41%

Defensive Potential

54%

46%

Poisson Distribution

56%

44%

Stregth H2H

29%

71%

Goals H2H

38%

63%

Wins the game

49%

52%

Toulouse - Strasbourg Head to Head

06/04	Toulouse	0 - 0	Strasbourg
27/08	Strasbourg	2 - 0	Toulouse
29/01	Strasbourg	1 - 2	Toulouse
23/10	Toulouse	2 - 2	Strasbourg

Ligue 1 standings

Rank	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	28	18	9	1	65	24	41	63
2	Stade Brestois 29	28	15	8	5	41	23	18	53
3	Lille	28	13	10	5	42	25	17	49
4	Monaco	27	14	7	6	52	38	14	49
5	Nice	28	12	8	8	28	22	6	44
6	Lens	28	12	7	9	37	30	7	43
7	Reims	28	11	7	10	35	36	-1	40
8	Marseille	28	10	9	9	41	33	8	39
9	Rennes	27	10	9	8	40	33	7	39
10	Lyon	27	10	5	12	31	41	-10	35
11	Toulouse	28	8	9	11	32	36	-4	33
12	Strasbourg	28	8	9	11	30	39	-9	33
13	Montpellier	28	8	9	11	35	40	-5	32
14	LE Havre	28	6	10	12	27	36	-9	28
15	Nantes	27	8	4	15	26	42	-16	28
16	Lorient	28	6	8	14	35	52	-17	26
17	Metz	28	6	5	17	28	48	-20	23
18	Clermont Foot	28	4	9	15	20	47	-27	21